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张育富, 杨维芳, 褚宏亮. 江苏省2005 — 2018年流行性乙型脑炎流行病学特征和聚集性分析[J]. 中国公共卫生, 2021, 37(6): 999-1002. DOI: 10.11847/zgggws1123842
引用本文: 张育富, 杨维芳, 褚宏亮. 江苏省2005 — 2018年流行性乙型脑炎流行病学特征和聚集性分析[J]. 中国公共卫生, 2021, 37(6): 999-1002. DOI: 10.11847/zgggws1123842
ZHANG Yu-fu, YANG Wei-fang, CHU Hong-liang. Prevalence characteristics and spatial clustering of Japanese B encephalitis in Jiangsu province, 2005 – 2018: a surveillance data analysis[J]. Chinese Journal of Public Health, 2021, 37(6): 999-1002. DOI: 10.11847/zgggws1123842
Citation: ZHANG Yu-fu, YANG Wei-fang, CHU Hong-liang. Prevalence characteristics and spatial clustering of Japanese B encephalitis in Jiangsu province, 2005 – 2018: a surveillance data analysis[J]. Chinese Journal of Public Health, 2021, 37(6): 999-1002. DOI: 10.11847/zgggws1123842

江苏省2005 — 2018年流行性乙型脑炎流行病学特征和聚集性分析

Prevalence characteristics and spatial clustering of Japanese B encephalitis in Jiangsu province, 2005 – 2018: a surveillance data analysis

  • 摘要:
      目的  分析2005 — 2018年江苏省流行性乙型脑炎(Japanese B encephalitis,JE)流行病学特征、聚集性以及JE发生与三带喙库蚊季节消长的相关性,为预防和控制JE提供科学依据。
      方法  利用描述性流行病学方法、聚集性和相关性分析描述江苏省2005 — 2018年JE的流行病学特征和风险地区。
      结果  江苏省2005 — 2018年共报告本地JE病例495例,年均发病率为0.045/10万,JE发病率总体呈下降趋势(χ2 = – 16.11,P < 0.01)。1~14岁儿童是高危人群。JE发生具明显季节性,病例主要集中在7月7日 — 9月7日〔相对危险度(RR)= 86.48,LLR = 726.97,P < 0.01)〕。苏南地区发病高峰为7月,苏北地区发病高峰为8月。单纯空间扫描分析结果显示,JE病例存在聚集性,聚集区主要分布在苏北的连云港市、宿迁市、淮安市和苏南的苏州市。2008 — 2018年江苏省JE月平均发病数与延后1个月的牲畜棚三带喙库蚊月平均密度呈统计学相关(r = 0.79,P < 0.01)。
      结论  江苏省JE发生与三带喙库蚊季节消长密切相关,在做好15岁以下儿童免疫接种工作的基础上,JE高发地区应加强三带喙库蚊密度、带毒率监测和宿主感染率监测,三带喙库蚊季节高峰前采取有效防蚊灭蚊措施,减少JE病例的发生。

     

    Abstract:
      Objective  To analyze prevalence characteristics and spatial clustering of Japanese B encephalitis (JE) and the correlation between the occurrence of JE and the seasonal fluctuation of Culex tritaeniorhynchus in Jiangsu province during 2005 – 2018 for providing evidences to JE prevention.
      Methods  Data on reported JE cases and demographics in Jiangsu province during 2005 – 2018 were extracted from National Disease Control Information System and the data on Culex tritaeniorhynchus density in the province for years of 2008 – 2018 were collected from vector monitoring system. Descriptive statistics were used in data analyses.
      Results  Totally 495 JE cases were reported during the period in Jiangsu province and a decreasing trend in the annual JE incidence was observed (χ2 = – 16.11, P < 0.01). Of all the reported cases, 92.73% were children aged 1 – 14 years. Obvious seasonal variation in JE incidence was detected and more cases were reported between 7th July and 7th September in a year (relative risk = 86.48, log likelihood ratio = 726.97; P < 0.01). The peak period of JE incidence was in July in South Jiangsu but in August in Northern Jiangsu. Purely spatial scan analysis results demonstrated the clustering of JE cases mainly in three cities in the northern and one city in the southern of Jiangsu province. For the period of 2008 – 2018, the monthly average number of JE cases statistically correlated with the lag day 30 monthly average density of Culex tritaeniorhynchus measured at live-stock sheds (r = 0.79, P < 0.01).
      Conclusion  The incidence of JE was closely related to the seasonal fluctuation of Culex tritaeniorhynchus density in Jiangsu province, suggesting that monitoring on Culex tritaeniorhynchus density and comprehensive anti-mosquito measures should be promoted, especially in regions with clustering of JE cases.

     

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