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沈秀莲, 贾豫晨, 何继波, 郑尔达, 戚艳波, 黄甜. 云南省2009 — 2019年手足口病流行特征及时空聚集性分析[J]. 中国公共卫生, 2021, 37(8): 1267-1272. DOI: 10.11847/zgggws1129557
引用本文: 沈秀莲, 贾豫晨, 何继波, 郑尔达, 戚艳波, 黄甜. 云南省2009 — 2019年手足口病流行特征及时空聚集性分析[J]. 中国公共卫生, 2021, 37(8): 1267-1272. DOI: 10.11847/zgggws1129557
SHEN Xiu-lian, JIA Yu-chen, HE Ji-bo, . Prevalence characteristics and temporal-spatial clustering of hand, foot and mouth disease in Yunnan province, 2009 – 2019[J]. Chinese Journal of Public Health, 2021, 37(8): 1267-1272. DOI: 10.11847/zgggws1129557
Citation: SHEN Xiu-lian, JIA Yu-chen, HE Ji-bo, . Prevalence characteristics and temporal-spatial clustering of hand, foot and mouth disease in Yunnan province, 2009 – 2019[J]. Chinese Journal of Public Health, 2021, 37(8): 1267-1272. DOI: 10.11847/zgggws1129557

云南省2009 — 2019年手足口病流行特征及时空聚集性分析

Prevalence characteristics and temporal-spatial clustering of hand, foot and mouth disease in Yunnan province, 2009 – 2019

  • 摘要:
      目的  分析云南省2009 — 2019年手足口病的流行特征及时空聚集性变化趋势。
      方法  首先对手足口病流行病学特征进行描述性分析,然后利用SaTScan 9.5软件完成时空聚集性扫描分析。
      结果  2009 — 2019年云南省手足口病共报告752209例,年均发病率为145.93/10万,多发于 < 5岁散居儿童,发病高峰在4 — 7月。2009年发病率高的地区主要集中在云南省中部,自2010年开始,随着发病率逐年上升,发病率高的地区由中部地区逐渐向四周分散。SaTScan时空扫描分析显示,手足口病发病存在明显时空聚集性,多为每年的4 — 7月,2009年和2010年手足口病的聚集地区均分布在昆明市、玉溪市、红河州3个地区,而2011 — 2018年在上述3个地区基础上新增曲靖市、文山州、楚雄州成为新的聚集区域,到2019年一类聚集区扩大到8个地区。
      结论  2009 — 2019年云南省手足口病呈现时空聚集性,一类聚集区域由云南中部地区逐渐向东南部移动,针对这些重点地区应采取有效措施进行干预,有效遏制疫情扩散。

     

    Abstract:
      Objective  To analyze prevalence characteristics and spatial-temporal aggregation of hand, foot and mouth disease (HFMD) in Yunnan province from 2009 to 2019.
      Methods  The data on HFMD incidents in 129 counties/districts of Yunnan province during 2009 – 2019 were extracted from National Disease Prevention and Control Information System and relevant population data were collected from statistics yearbooks issued by provincial statistical bureau. The prevalence characteristics of HFMD was analyzed with descriptive statistics and spatial-temporal clustering of HFMD was assessed using SaTScan 9.5 software.
      Results  A total of 752 209 HFMD cases were reported in Yunnan province during the period, with an average annual incidence of 145.93/100 000. More HFMD incidents were reported among scattered living children aged < 5 years and more incidents occurred during April – July in a year. In 2009, the counties/districts with higher HMFD incidence were mainly located in the central region of Yunnan province; but from 2010, more counties/districts with higher HFMD incidence were gradually identified around the central region along with the increase in annual HFMD incidence in the province. SaTScan spatial-temporal scanning analysis demonstrated an obvious temporal clustering of HFMD mainly during April – July in a year; the scanning analysis also revealed spatial clustering of HFMD incidence in three prefecture regions (Kunming, Yuxi and Honghe) in 2009 and 2010, while, another three prefecture regions (Qujing, Wenshan and Chuxiong) with spatial clustering of the incidence were identified during 2011 – 2018 and totally eight prefecture regions with spatial clustering of the incidence were found in 2019.
      Conclusion  There were obvious spatial-temporal clustering of HFMD incidence in Yunnan province from 2009 to 2019 and the regions with spatial clustering of HFMD incidence enlarged from the central to southeastern Yunnan gradually; the situation should be concerned for effective control of HFMD epidemic in the province.

     

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