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王俊, 高玉堂, 王学励, 刘恩菊, 张玉兰, 袁剑敏. 上海市男性饮酒与死亡关系的前瞻性研究[J]. 中国公共卫生, 2005, 21(3): 299-302.
引用本文: 王俊, 高玉堂, 王学励, 刘恩菊, 张玉兰, 袁剑敏. 上海市男性饮酒与死亡关系的前瞻性研究[J]. 中国公共卫生, 2005, 21(3): 299-302.
WANG Jun, GAO Yutang, WANG Xueli, . Prospective male cohort study on alcohol consumption and mortality in Shanghai[J]. Chinese Journal of Public Health, 2005, 21(3): 299-302.
Citation: WANG Jun, GAO Yutang, WANG Xueli, . Prospective male cohort study on alcohol consumption and mortality in Shanghai[J]. Chinese Journal of Public Health, 2005, 21(3): 299-302.

上海市男性饮酒与死亡关系的前瞻性研究

Prospective male cohort study on alcohol consumption and mortality in Shanghai

  • 摘要:
      目的   探讨饮酒与上海市市区中老年男性死亡的关系。
      方法   自1986年1月~1989年9月调查上海市区45~64岁男性居民18244人, 每年上门随访一次; 用COX比例风险模型计算相对危险度。
      结果   至2002年度随访结束, 全队列共随访235762人年, 人均随访12.9年。在此期间共死亡3365人, 其中恶性肿瘤死亡1381人。在调整年龄、吸烟情况及教育程度后, 相对于不饮酒者每天饮酒酒精量 < 15g和15~29g者总死亡相对危险度(RR)分别为0.80(95%CI: 0.72~0.89)和0.87(95%CI: 0.78~0.97), 每天饮酒酒精量90g及以上者RR为1.25(95%CI: 1.04~1.51)。少量饮酒者缺血性心脏病和慢性阻塞性肺部疾病死亡危险性显著降低。每天饮酒酒精量70g及以上者食管癌、结直肠癌、脑血管病死亡危险性显著升高, RR分别为5.08, 2.57和1.57, 肝硬化死亡危险性在每天饮酒酒精量30g及以上者中也显著上升, RR为1.89。
      结论   少量饮酒会降低中老年男性总死亡危险性, 大量饮酒则会增加中老年男性食管癌、结直肠癌、脑血管病及肝硬化的死亡危险性。

     

    Abstract:
      Objective   To access the association between alcohol consumption and mor tality in men in urban Shanghai.
      Methods   A total of 18 244 male r esidents of urban Shanghai aged 45 to 64 years were enrolled in the study during January 1, 1986 through September 30, 1989, and were actively followed up viaannual visits.Cox proponional hazards model was used to estimate the relative risks(RR).
      Results   By the end of follow-up in 2002, the cohort was followed up with invo lvement of 235 762 person-years, aver aged 12.9 years per subject.3 365 deaths including 1 381 from cancer were registered during the follow-up period.Compared with lifelong non-drinkers, the RR of overall mortality among those who drank < 15g rams, 15-29 grams ethanol per day was 0.80(95%CI): 0.72-0.89)and 0.87(95%CI: 0.78-0.97), respectively; the RR among those drinking 90 grams or more ethanol per day was 1.25(95%CI: 1.04-1.51).Among light drinkers the mortality of ischemic heart disease and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease decreased significantly.Drinking 70 grams or more ethanol per day was significantly associated with increased risks of death from esophageal cancer(RR 5.08), colorectal cancer(RR 2.57), and stroke(RR 1.57).The risk of death from hepatic cimhosis also rose significantly in those who drank 30 grams or more ethanol per day(RR 1.89).
      Conclusion   Light drinking is associated with lower overall mortality in mid dle-aged and elderly men, while heavy drinking is associated with increased risk of death from esophageal cancer, colorectal cancer, stroke, and hepatic cirrhosis.

     

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