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张晗希, 刘聪, 李艺然, 乔佳颖, 许志梦, 曾澄波, 李凌华, 蔡卫平, 郭艳. HIV/AIDS患者自杀危险因素分类树模型筛选[J]. 中国公共卫生, 2018, 34(12): 1599-1602. DOI: 10.11847/zgggws1117370
引用本文: 张晗希, 刘聪, 李艺然, 乔佳颖, 许志梦, 曾澄波, 李凌华, 蔡卫平, 郭艳. HIV/AIDS患者自杀危险因素分类树模型筛选[J]. 中国公共卫生, 2018, 34(12): 1599-1602. DOI: 10.11847/zgggws1117370
Han-xi ZHANG, Cong LIU, Yi-ran LI, Wei-ping CAI, Yan GUO. Screening on risk factors of suicide in people living with HIV/AIDS: an application of classification tree model[J]. Chinese Journal of Public Health, 2018, 34(12): 1599-1602. DOI: 10.11847/zgggws1117370
Citation: Han-xi ZHANG, Cong LIU, Yi-ran LI, Wei-ping CAI, Yan GUO. Screening on risk factors of suicide in people living with HIV/AIDS: an application of classification tree model[J]. Chinese Journal of Public Health, 2018, 34(12): 1599-1602. DOI: 10.11847/zgggws1117370

HIV/AIDS患者自杀危险因素分类树模型筛选

Screening on risk factors of suicide in people living with HIV/AIDS: an application of classification tree model

  • 摘要:
      目的  探索艾滋病毒感染者/艾滋病(HIV/AIDS)患者自杀的影响因素,为预防HIV/AIDS患者自杀提供针对性地干预依据。
      方法  2013年3 — 6月,在广东省广州市第八人民医院对408位HIV/AIDS患者进行横断面调查,采用分类树模型筛选自杀危险因素。
      结果  本次调查发放问卷450份,有效问卷为408份(90.7 %)。其中,男性占69.6 %(284/408),同性恋/双性恋者占31.9 %(130/408),处于抑郁状态者占36.8 %(150/408)。有32.8 %(134/408)的患者有过自杀意念或发生过自杀行为;分类树模型结果显示,有抑郁症状、文化程度、性取向以及歧视为重要的危险因素,其中,高危人群为:(有抑郁症状 + 文化程度高)、(无抑郁症状 + 非异性恋)、(无抑郁症状 + 异性恋 + 受到歧视)。利用预测概率绘制的ROC曲线下面积为0.763,与0.5比较差异有统计学意义,模型拟合效果较好。
      结论  应重视所筛选出的主要自杀危险因素,降低HIV/AIDS患者自杀的发生率。同时应关注HIV/AIDS患者中未发现抑郁症状者的自杀状况,及时采取相应干预措施,减少自杀的发生。

     

    Abstract:
      Objective  To explore influencing factors for suicide among the people living with human immunodeficiency virus/acquired immunodeficiency syndrome (HIV/AIDS)(PLWHA) and to provide evidences for developing interventions on suicide in PLWHA.
      Methods  Totally 450 PLWHA were recruited in No.8 People′s Hospital of Guangzhou City for a cross-sectional questionnaire survey between March and June 2013. Classification tree analysis was performed to identify factors associated with suicidal ideation and suicidal attempt in the participants.
      Results  Of the 408 participants with valid information, 284 (69.6%) were male and 130 (31.9%) were female; 130 (31.9%) reported homosexual/bisexual orientation; 150 (36.8%) were identified with depression symptoms; and 134 (32.8%) reported suicidal ideation or attempt. The results of classification tree analysis revealed that significant risk factors for suicide included depression, educational level, sexual orientation, and stigma and following three groups of PLWHA were at a high risk of suicide: those with depression and higher educational level; those without depression but with homosexual orientation; without depression but with homosexual orientation and with perceived HIV-related stigma. The area under curve (AUC) of the receiver operating characteristic curve was 0.763, with a significant difference from 0.5, suggesting a good fit of the established classification tree model.
      Conclusion  Main risk factors of suicide screened out among the PLWHA of the study need to be concerned to decrease suicidal mortality in the population; in addition, intervention on suicide is also needed among the PLWHA without depression symptoms.

     

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