高级检索
李惠娟, 李明全. 江苏省控制空气污染健康效益评估[J]. 中国公共卫生, 2018, 34(12): 1631-1637. DOI: 10.11847/zgggws1117789
引用本文: 李惠娟, 李明全. 江苏省控制空气污染健康效益评估[J]. 中国公共卫生, 2018, 34(12): 1631-1637. DOI: 10.11847/zgggws1117789
Hui-juan LI, Ming-quan LI. Assessment on health benefit of air pollution control in Jiangsu province[J]. Chinese Journal of Public Health, 2018, 34(12): 1631-1637. DOI: 10.11847/zgggws1117789
Citation: Hui-juan LI, Ming-quan LI. Assessment on health benefit of air pollution control in Jiangsu province[J]. Chinese Journal of Public Health, 2018, 34(12): 1631-1637. DOI: 10.11847/zgggws1117789

江苏省控制空气污染健康效益评估

Assessment on health benefit of air pollution control in Jiangsu province

  • 摘要:
      目的  定量评估江苏省控制PM2.5污染带来的居民健康经济效益。
      方法  运用环境健康风险与环境价值评估方法,以2015年为基准年,对江苏省实施空气污染控制政策并达到环境空气质量标准(GB3095 – 2012)中PM2.5国家二级浓度标准可实现的健康效益进行评估,并对各城市、各区域的健康效益进行比较分析。
      结果  江苏省能够实现的健康效应总和为128(95 % CI = 58.21~192.56)万人,占全省市区人口的2.92 %(95 % CI = 1.33 %~4.39 %);可实现的健康经济总效益达702.37(95 % CI = 231.20~1 093.46)亿元,相当于2015年GDP的1.00 %(95 % CI = 0.32 %~1.2 %),3大区域的效益从高到低依次为苏南、苏北、苏中。当选择更加严格的空气质量标准时,全省获得的健康效益将进一步增加。
      结论  江苏省若能实施严格的PM2.5污染控制措施并达标,可以有效改善城市居民的健康状况,并带来可观的健康经济效益。

     

    Abstract:
      Objective  To quantitatively assess health economic benefit of implementing control of particulate matter less than 2.5 μm in aerodynamic diameter (PM2.5) pollution in Jiangsu province.
      Methods  Using environmental health risk and environmental value assessment method, we assessed health benefits of air pollution control among permanent urban residents in 13 municipalities of Jiangsu province and compared the assessment results for various cities. Baseline data were those collected in 2015 and the health effects to be achieved in relation to PM2.5 concentration in ambient air requested by national secondary standard (GB3095 – 2012) were adopted in the assessment.
      Results  The decreased number of people potentially affected by PM2.5 pollution after implementing control measures was 1.28 millions (95 confidence interval 95% CI: 0.58 – 1.93), accounting for 2.92% (95% CI: 1.33% – 4.39%) of total urban population in the province, with the estimated corresponding total health economic benefit of 70.24 (95% CI: 23.12 – 109.35) billions yuan RMB, equivalent to 1.00% (95% CI: 0.32% – 1.20%) of gross domestic product (GDP) of Jiangsu province in 2015. The estimated health benefit varied in the southern, northern, and central region of Jiangsu province in descending order. The estimated health benefit would be much more greater if more stringent standard for ambient air quality is adopted.
      Conclusion  If more strict measures for PM2.5 pollution control are implemented in Jiangsu province, the health status of urban residents could be improved effectively and considerable health economic benefit could be achieved.

     

/

返回文章
返回