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程宇, 潘雪, 朱可佳, 钞虹. 2008 — 2016年齐齐哈尔市肺结核流性特征及空间聚集性分析[J]. 中国公共卫生, 2018, 34(12): 1675-1678. DOI: 10.11847/zgggws1119843
引用本文: 程宇, 潘雪, 朱可佳, 钞虹. 2008 — 2016年齐齐哈尔市肺结核流性特征及空间聚集性分析[J]. 中国公共卫生, 2018, 34(12): 1675-1678. DOI: 10.11847/zgggws1119843
Yu CHENG, Xue PAN, Ke-jia ZHU, . Prevalence and spatial clustering of pulmonary tuberculosis in Qiqihar city, 2008 – 2016[J]. Chinese Journal of Public Health, 2018, 34(12): 1675-1678. DOI: 10.11847/zgggws1119843
Citation: Yu CHENG, Xue PAN, Ke-jia ZHU, . Prevalence and spatial clustering of pulmonary tuberculosis in Qiqihar city, 2008 – 2016[J]. Chinese Journal of Public Health, 2018, 34(12): 1675-1678. DOI: 10.11847/zgggws1119843

2008 — 2016年齐齐哈尔市肺结核流性特征及空间聚集性分析

Prevalence and spatial clustering of pulmonary tuberculosis in Qiqihar city, 2008 – 2016

  • 摘要:
      目的  分析近几年黑龙江省齐齐哈尔市肺结核流性特征及空间聚集性,为制定有针对性的干预措施提供科学依据。
      方法  对齐齐哈尔市近年肺结核监测数据的流行病学特征进行描述性统计分析;对齐齐哈尔市177个乡镇街道肺结核发病率进行全局和局部空间自相关分析。
      结果  2008 — 2016年齐齐哈尔市肺结核年均发病率为95.42/10万,发病率呈上升趋势并居高不下(Z趋势 = 13.696 3,P < 0.001);男女发病比为2 : 1,男性患者明显多于女性(χ2 = 4 960.66,P < 0.001);40岁~组发病人数最多,占23.32 %;肺结核报告发病率较高的月份集中在3 — 8月;发病职业主要以农(牧)民及家政家务、待业人员为主,占89.43 %。空间相关分析显示,2014 — 2016年齐齐哈尔市肺结核发病率存在正向空间自相关性(Moran's I > 0,P < 0.001);肺结核登记率的高 – 高聚集区域主要分布在古北镇、克山镇、双河乡、河南乡、河北乡、甘南镇、长河乡等地。
      结论  齐齐哈尔市近些年肺结核发病率逐渐升高且存在空间聚集性,应加大对肺结核发病高风险人群和高聚集区域的监测管理,制定有针对性的肺结核防控策略。

     

    Abstract:
      Objective  To explore prevalence characteristics and spatial aggregation of pulmonary tuberculosis (TB) in Qiqihar municipality and to provide evidences for TB prevention and control.
      Methods  We extracted data on TB cases newly reported between 2008 and 2016 in Qiqihar municipality from TB Information Management System and municipal demographic data of the same period were also collected. Descriptive statistics was used to analyze prevalence characteristics and seasonal variation of TB; global and local spatial autocorrelation analysis on TB incidence among 117 township regions was performed.
      Results  The average annual TB incidence rate was 95.42/100 000; the annual rate increased significantly during the period (Ztrend = 13.696 3, P < 0.001). The TB prevalence rate was significantly higher among the male residents than among the female residents (χ2 = 4 960.66, P < 0.001); the male to female ratio for the total number of TB cases was about 2 : 1. Of all the reported TB cases, 23.32% were aged 40 – 49 years and 89.43% were farmers and housekeepers. Spatial correlation analysis revealed a positive spatial autocorrelation in TB incidence between 2014 – 2016 (Moran's I > 0, P < 0.001) and high-high clustering of reported TB incidents was found in 7 township regions of the municipality.
      Conclusion  The incidence rate of pulmonary tuberculosis in Qigihar municipality increased gradually and showed a spatial clustering between 2008 and 2016. The results suggest that surveillance and management on pulmonary tuberculosis should be strengthened and targeted prevention and control strategies should be developed among high risk populations and high clustering regions.

     

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