高级检索
龚建华, 高力军, 吴群红, 孙宏. 中国卫生安全风险评估[J]. 中国公共卫生, 2020, 36(2): 148-151. DOI: 10.11847/zgggws1124783
引用本文: 龚建华, 高力军, 吴群红, 孙宏. 中国卫生安全风险评估[J]. 中国公共卫生, 2020, 36(2): 148-151. DOI: 10.11847/zgggws1124783
Jian-hua GONG, Li-ju GAO, Qun-hong WU, . Risk assessment on health security in China[J]. Chinese Journal of Public Health, 2020, 36(2): 148-151. DOI: 10.11847/zgggws1124783
Citation: Jian-hua GONG, Li-ju GAO, Qun-hong WU, . Risk assessment on health security in China[J]. Chinese Journal of Public Health, 2020, 36(2): 148-151. DOI: 10.11847/zgggws1124783

中国卫生安全风险评估

Risk assessment on health security in China

  • 摘要:
      目的  对中国的卫生安全风险进行识别、分析与评价,为管理和控制卫生安全风险、制定我国的国家卫生安全战略提供参考。
      方法  利用文献分析及专题小组讨论法构建卫生安全风险综合评估模型,利用专家咨询、均值标准差法对卫生安全风险进行综合性等级判定。
      结果  ①构建了6大类29个风险事件在内的卫生安全风险识别来源集;②29个风险事件中,风险等级综合评价Ⅰ级(极高)、Ⅱ级(高风险)、Ⅲ级(一般风险)、Ⅳ级(低风险)的事件分别有6个、5个、15个和3个;③6个Ⅰ级(极高)风险事件分别是突发(新发)急性传染病、抗菌素滥用及耐药性、心脑血管疾病、恶性肿瘤、慢性传染病、营养代谢性疾病。
      结论  威胁我国卫生安全事件总体上呈现传染病、慢性病以及高风险行为交织融合复杂性特征,亟需从顶层制定我国的国家卫生安全战略。

     

    Abstract:
      Objective  To identify, analyze and evaluate health security risk and to provide references for management and control of health security risk and the formulation of national health security strategy in China.
      Methods  Literature analysis and panel discussion were used to construct a comprehensive health security risk assessment model. Expert consultation and mean standard deviation were used to determine comprehensive grade of health security risks.
      Results  An event set including 29 risk events of 6 categories was constructed for health security risk identification. Of the 29 risk events, 6, 5, 15, and 3 were classified as the events with extremely high, high, general, and low risk and assigned into the risk level groups of I, II, III, and IV, respectively, based on the results of the comprehensive evaluation. The discriminated 6 risk level I events include emergent (new) acute infectious disease, antibiotic abuse and drug resistance, cardiovascular and cerebrovascular disease, malignant tumor, chronic infectious disease, and nutritional metabolic disease.
      Conclusion  Events threatening health security in China are those with complex characteristics, such as infectious diseases, chronic diseases, and high-risk behaviors and developing national health security strategies is urgent.

     

/

返回文章
返回