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罗峥, 徐洁, 廖献琴, 李小攀, 邓阳. 上海市浦东新区王港社区居民2009 — 2018年心脑血管疾病死亡趋势及影响因素分析[J]. 中国公共卫生, 2021, 37(7): 1169-1172. DOI: 10.11847/zgggws1126031
引用本文: 罗峥, 徐洁, 廖献琴, 李小攀, 邓阳. 上海市浦东新区王港社区居民2009 — 2018年心脑血管疾病死亡趋势及影响因素分析[J]. 中国公共卫生, 2021, 37(7): 1169-1172. DOI: 10.11847/zgggws1126031
LUO Zheng, XU Jie, LIAO Xian-qin, . Mortality trend and its influencing factors of cardio-cerebral vascular diseases among a new urban community population in Shanghai, 2009 – 2018: a decomposition analysis[J]. Chinese Journal of Public Health, 2021, 37(7): 1169-1172. DOI: 10.11847/zgggws1126031
Citation: LUO Zheng, XU Jie, LIAO Xian-qin, . Mortality trend and its influencing factors of cardio-cerebral vascular diseases among a new urban community population in Shanghai, 2009 – 2018: a decomposition analysis[J]. Chinese Journal of Public Health, 2021, 37(7): 1169-1172. DOI: 10.11847/zgggws1126031

上海市浦东新区王港社区居民2009 — 2018年心脑血管疾病死亡趋势及影响因素分析

Mortality trend and its influencing factors of cardio-cerebral vascular diseases among a new urban community population in Shanghai, 2009 – 2018: a decomposition analysis

  • 摘要:
      目的  了解上海市浦东新区王港社区居民心脑血管疾病(CCVDs)死亡流趋势及其影响因素对疾病死亡率变化的贡献率。
      方法  收集上海市浦东新区王港社区2009年1月1日 — 2018年12月31日户籍人口死因监测数据库中CCVDs相关数据,采用死亡率、标化死亡率、年均变化百分比(APC)等指标对CCVDs死亡情况进行分析,并采用率的差别分解法分析人口因素和非人口因素对CCVDs死亡率差异的贡献率。
      结果  上海市浦东新区王港社区居民2009 — 2018年因CCVDs死亡857例,粗死亡率为245.23/10万,标化死亡率为78.91/10万;其中因脑血管病死亡460例,粗死亡率为131.63/10万,标化死亡率为42.84/10万;因缺血性心脏病死亡338例,粗死亡率为96.72/10万,标化死亡率为29.18/10万。2009 — 2018年CCVDs粗死亡率呈明显上升趋势(APC = 3.55,Z = 2.32,P = 0.049),标化死亡率无明显变化趋势(APC = 0.08,Z = 0.06,P = 0.952);脑血管病及缺血性心脏病粗死亡率和标化死亡率均无明显变化趋势(均P > 0.05)。以2009年为基准,2014 — 2018年CCVDs死亡率人口因素增加值和贡献率分别为48.66/10万和63.10 %,均高于2009 — 2013年CCVDs死亡率人口因素增加值和贡献率的15.48/10万和39.08 %。
      结论  上海市浦东新区王港社区居民2009 — 2018年CCVDs粗死亡率呈明显上升趋势,人口老龄化是CCVDs死亡率上升的主要原因。

     

    Abstract:
      Objective  To explore the trend and influencing factors of cardio-cerebral vascular diseases (CCVDs) mortality among permanent residents in a rural-urban transition community from 2009 to 2018 in Shanghai city.
      Methods  The data on CCVDs mortality and its correlates for permanent residents of the community from January 1, 2009 to December 31, 2018 were collected from the datasets of death registry system of Shanghai city. Crude mortality, standardized mortality rate, and annual percent change (APC) were adopted to assess the level and trend of CCVDs mortality; differential decomposition method was used to evaluate contributions of the demographic and non-demographic factors to CCVDs mortality.
      Results  During the 10-year period in the population, totally 857 CCVDs deaths were registered, accounting for 21.28% of all-cause death; the crude mortality rate of CCVDs was 245.23/100 000 and the annual rate showed a significant upward trend (APC = 3.55, Z = 2.32, P = 0.049); the Chinese population standardized mortality rate of CCVDs was 78.91/100 000 and the annual rate showed no significant variation trend (APC = 0.08, Z = 0.06, P = 0.952). As for mortality of cerebrovascular diseases and ischemic heart disease, the total number of registered death were 460 and 338; the crude mortality rate were 131.63 and 96.72 per 100 000 population; and Chinese population standardized mortality rate were 42.84 and 29.18 per 100 000 population, respectively. No significant change trends were observed in crude and standardized mortality rate of cerebrovascular diseases and ischemic heart disease (P > 0.05 for all). Using those of 2009 as baseline values, an increased crude rate of 48.66/100 000 and a contribution ratio of 63.10% for CCVDs mortality could be attributed to changes in demographic factors during the period of 2014 – 2018, both of which were higher than those (15.48/100 000, 39.08%) for the period of 2009 – 2013.
      Conclusion  The crude mortality rate of cardio-cerebral vascular diseases increased significantly among permanent residents in a rural-urban transition community from 2009 to 2018 and the increase could be attributed mainly to the ageing of the population.

     

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