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闫温馨, 朱正, 吴昀效, 付张萍, 商伟静, 康良钰, 刘珏, 刘民. 新冠疫情防控中NPIs与疫苗覆盖效果分析 —— 基于澳大利亚、韩国、新加坡、以色列、印度5个国家生态比较研究[J]. 中国公共卫生, 2022, 38(5): 597-603. DOI: 10.11847/zgggws1138325
引用本文: 闫温馨, 朱正, 吴昀效, 付张萍, 商伟静, 康良钰, 刘珏, 刘民. 新冠疫情防控中NPIs与疫苗覆盖效果分析 —— 基于澳大利亚、韩国、新加坡、以色列、印度5个国家生态比较研究[J]. 中国公共卫生, 2022, 38(5): 597-603. DOI: 10.11847/zgggws1138325
YAN Wen-xin, ZHU Zheng, WU Yun-xiao, . Effectiveness of NPIs and vaccine coverage in the prevention and control of COVID-19 epidemic – an ecological comparative study among Australia, Korea, Singapore, Israel and India[J]. Chinese Journal of Public Health, 2022, 38(5): 597-603. DOI: 10.11847/zgggws1138325
Citation: YAN Wen-xin, ZHU Zheng, WU Yun-xiao, . Effectiveness of NPIs and vaccine coverage in the prevention and control of COVID-19 epidemic – an ecological comparative study among Australia, Korea, Singapore, Israel and India[J]. Chinese Journal of Public Health, 2022, 38(5): 597-603. DOI: 10.11847/zgggws1138325

新冠疫情防控中NPIs与疫苗覆盖效果分析 —— 基于澳大利亚、韩国、新加坡、以色列、印度5个国家生态比较研究

Effectiveness of NPIs and vaccine coverage in the prevention and control of COVID-19 epidemic – an ecological comparative study among Australia, Korea, Singapore, Israel and India

  • 摘要:
      目的   通过比较澳大利亚、韩国、新加坡、以色列、印度5个国家在检测、控制传播和疫苗接种方面的举措与成效,为全球疫情防控策略提供建议或证据支持。
      方法  从Our World in Data 网站获取澳大利亚、韩国、新加坡、以色列、印度5个国家2020年1月21日 — 2021年12月31日新冠疫情相关数据, 通过比较每日检测人数与每日新增病例数、牛津 – 紧缩指数与每日新增病例数、每百人完全接种新冠疫苗人数与每日新增死亡数的关系,结合国家基本特征,研究分析各国在寻找传染源、切断传播途径、保护易感人群方面所执行的非药物干预措施和疫苗接种工作的效果。
      结果  增大检测力度在一定程度上控制了疫情进一步流行,且多在检测数达到顶峰后新增确诊人数开始下降;在疫情形势趋于严峻时,各国牛津 – 紧缩指数升高,随着疫情趋于缓和,该指数有所下降,但易导致疫情反弹;随着疫苗完全接种率的升高,新冠肺炎病死率有所下降。
      结论  世界各国应积极借鉴国际经验,紧密结合本国国情,遵循流行病学规律,从控制传染源、切断传播途径和保护易感人群三个方面入手,积极采取NPIs、大力推进新冠疫苗及加强针的普及接种与进一步研发,共同应对这一全球性公共卫生问题挑战。

     

    Abstract:
      Objective  To compare measures and effectiveness of case detection, transmission control, and vaccination for containment of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) epidemic in Australia, South Korea, Singapore, Israel, and India for providing evidences to the development of strategies on worldwide prevention and control of the epidemic.
      Methods  The data on COVID-19 epidemic from January 1st 2020 through 2021 in the five countries were retrieved from the website of Our World in Data. Country-specific effects of non-pharmacological interventions (NPIs) and vaccinations on infectious source tracing, intercepting transmission, and protecting susceptible populations in the five countries were assessed by comparing correlations between the daily numbers of testing and incidence cases, the Oxford-stringency index and daily incidences, and the number of fully vaccinated persons per 100 population and daily mortalities.
      Results  The severity of COVID-19 epidemic was controlled by increased daily number of detection in a certain extent and the daily number of confirmed incidence cases decreased after the day with the highest detection number. The Oxford-stringency index increased with the worsening of COVID-19 epidemic but decreased somewhat with the weakening of the epidemic and the decrease in the index could relate to a rebound of the epidemic. The case-fatality rate of COVID-19 decreased with the increase of fully vaccination rate.
      Conclusion  Countries around the world should actively learn from international experience, follow the laws of epidemiology, start from controlling the source of infection, cutting off the transmission route and protecting susceptible people, adapt NPIs and promote booster vaccination universally, further research and development, for coping effectively with the global public health challenge.

     

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