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褚衍茹, 张栋梁, 陈奕, 易波, 雷松, 张言武, 劳旭影, 顾晓敏, 王海波, 丁克琴, 许国章. 基于新冠病毒Delta及Omicron变异株流行特征变化对疫情防控措施优化分析[J]. 中国公共卫生, 2022, 38(9): 1170-1174. DOI: 10.11847/zgggws1139538
引用本文: 褚衍茹, 张栋梁, 陈奕, 易波, 雷松, 张言武, 劳旭影, 顾晓敏, 王海波, 丁克琴, 许国章. 基于新冠病毒Delta及Omicron变异株流行特征变化对疫情防控措施优化分析[J]. 中国公共卫生, 2022, 38(9): 1170-1174. DOI: 10.11847/zgggws1139538
CHU Yan-ru, ZHANG Dong-liang, CHEN Yi, . Optimization of COVID-19 prevention and control measures based on prevalence characteristics of SARS-CoV-2 Delta and Omicron variants: an analysis on surveillance data of Ningbo city[J]. Chinese Journal of Public Health, 2022, 38(9): 1170-1174. DOI: 10.11847/zgggws1139538
Citation: CHU Yan-ru, ZHANG Dong-liang, CHEN Yi, . Optimization of COVID-19 prevention and control measures based on prevalence characteristics of SARS-CoV-2 Delta and Omicron variants: an analysis on surveillance data of Ningbo city[J]. Chinese Journal of Public Health, 2022, 38(9): 1170-1174. DOI: 10.11847/zgggws1139538

基于新冠病毒Delta及Omicron变异株流行特征变化对疫情防控措施优化分析

Optimization of COVID-19 prevention and control measures based on prevalence characteristics of SARS-CoV-2 Delta and Omicron variants: an analysis on surveillance data of Ningbo city

  • 摘要:
      目的  分析比较宁波市Delta和Omicron变异株引发本土聚集性疫情续发感染者的流行特征,为进一步优化调整新冠肺炎疫情的防控措施提供参考依据。
      方法  以2021年12月1日 — 2022年5月31日宁波市37起本土新冠肺炎疫情中判定为密切接触者(密接)中的171例续发感染者为研究对象,对两种变异株的感染者流行特征进行描述性分析,以与关联病例有明确暴露时间的续发感染者计算潜伏期。
      结果  确诊病例占80.70 %(138/171),无症状感染者占19.30 %(33/171)。Delta和Omicron变异株感染者分别占64.33 %(110/171)和35.67 %(61/171),Omicron变异株的无症状感染者比例高于Delta变异株(54.1 % vs. 0,P < 0.01)。与关联病例有明确暴露时间的22例确诊病例(Delta变异株15例,Omicron变异株 7例)平均潜伏期为(3.45 ± 0.44)d,Delta和Omicron变异株感染者的最长潜伏期分别为8和6 d,平均潜伏期分别为(3.60 ± 0.58)和(3.14 ± 0.63)d,差异无统计学意义(P > 0.05)。Omicron变异株感染者末次暴露至核酸检测首次阳性间隔时间均 ≤ 7d。Omicron变异株感染者核酸检测首次阳性N基因Ct值高于Delta变异株感染者,但平均住院天数少于Delta变异株(P均 < 0.05)。
      结论  Omicron变异株引发本地疫情的潜伏期 < 7 d且较Delta变异株的致病性低,建议调整密接的管控措施为7 d集中隔离和3 d居家健康监测。

     

    Abstract:
      Objective  To analyze and compare prevalence characteristics of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) cluster epidemic-related secondary infections caused by severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) Delta and Omicron variant in Ningbo city, and to provide a basis for optimizing and adjusting measures on COVID-19 prevention and control.
      Methods  From the National Information System for Disease Control and Prevention and the reports of field surveys, we extracted the information on 171 COVID-19 cases with SARS-CoV-2 Delta and Omicron variant infection identified among close contacts of 37 local COVID-19 outbreaks in Ningbo city from December 1, 2021 to May 31, 2022. Descriptive analysis was performed to analyze prevalence characteristics of the cases and the incubation period of secondary infection was calculated for the cases with definite exposure time to index cases.
      Results  Of all the cases, 80.70% (n = 138) and 19.30% (n = 33) were confirmed patients and asymptomatic infections; 64.33% (n = 110) and 35.67% (n = 61) were infected with SARS-CoV-2 Delta and Omicron variant, respectively. The proportion of asymptomatic infection was significantly higher in the cases infected with Omicron variant than that in the cases with Delta variant (54.10% vs. 0, P < 0.05). The mean incubation period was 3.45 ± 0.44 days for the 22 confirmed cases (15 and 7 with Delta and Omicron variant infection) after a definite exposure to the index case. The longest incubation period of Delta and Omicron variant infection were 8 and 6 days. The mean incubation period was 3.60 ± 0.58 and 3.14 ± 0.63 days for Delta and Omicron variant infection, with no significant difference (P > 0.05). The interval time between the last exposure and the first positive detection of nucleic acid was ≤ 7 days for the cases with Omicron variant infection. The Ct value of N gene at the first positive nucleic acid detection was significantly higher in the patients with Omicron variant infection than that in those with Delta variant infection (P < 0.05), but the average hospitalization days of the cases with Omicron variant infection was significantly lower than that of cases infected with Delta variant (P < 0.05).
      Conclusion  The incubation period of SARS-CoV-2 Omicron variant infection is less than 7 days and Omicron variant infection is less pathogenic than Delta variant infection. The results suggest that the recommended managent and control measures for close contacts are 7 days′ centralized isolation and 3 days′ home-based health monitoring.

     

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