西昌市静脉吸毒人群HIV发病率分析

Analysis on HIV incidence rate among injection drug users in Xichang City

摘要:
目的在四川省西昌市静脉吸毒人群中, 利用数学模型研究人类免疫缺陷病毒(HIV)发病率。
方法利用对西昌市静脉吸毒人群HIV感染横断面调查获得有关数据, 进行HIV数学模型分析。
结果建立静脉吸毒人群中的HIV数学模型, 利用横断面调查资料计算HIV发病率。
结论由模型及其分析得出HIV发病率为λ=3.5%, 与由队列研究所获得的发病率比较接近。

Abstract:
Objective The HIV incidence rate was studied among the injection drug users in Xichang of Sichuan province with a mathematical model.
Methods The basic data were obtained by cross-sectional studies among the injection drug users.A HIV mathematical model was analyzed.
Results The HIV mathematical model was introduced.The HIV incidence rate was estimated.
Conclusion By the model, the HIV incidence rate is λ=3.5%, which is close that by the cohort study.