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孟紫强, 卢彬, 潘竞界, 耿红, 张剑, 张全喜, 杨振华, 张欣. 沙尘天气与呼吸系统疾病日入院人数关系[J]. 中国公共卫生, 2007, 23(3): 284-286. DOI: 10.11847/zgggws2007-23-03-16
引用本文: 孟紫强, 卢彬, 潘竞界, 耿红, 张剑, 张全喜, 杨振华, 张欣. 沙尘天气与呼吸系统疾病日入院人数关系[J]. 中国公共卫生, 2007, 23(3): 284-286. DOI: 10.11847/zgggws2007-23-03-16
MENG Zi-qiang, LU Bin, PAN Jing-jie, . Association of dust events with daily respiratory hospitalization[J]. Chinese Journal of Public Health, 2007, 23(3): 284-286. DOI: 10.11847/zgggws2007-23-03-16
Citation: MENG Zi-qiang, LU Bin, PAN Jing-jie, . Association of dust events with daily respiratory hospitalization[J]. Chinese Journal of Public Health, 2007, 23(3): 284-286. DOI: 10.11847/zgggws2007-23-03-16

沙尘天气与呼吸系统疾病日入院人数关系

Association of dust events with daily respiratory hospitalization

  • 摘要: 目的 研究沙尘天气与呼吸系统疾病日入院人数的关系.方法 采用时间序列的半参数广义相加模型(GAM),在控制了长期趋势、日历效应以及气象因子等混杂因素的影响后,分析1994-2003年沙尘天气与呼吸系统日入院人数的关系,并按性别不同分层建立模型(滞后7 d).结果 (1)总的呼吸系统疾病日入院相对危险度(RR)和上呼吸道感染(URTI)日入院RR,在沙尘天气滞后第3 d差异均有统计学意义,其RR分别为1.14(95%CI=1.02-1.27),1.16(95%CI=1.00-1.36);(2)在分层分析中,沙尘天气在滞后第3 d对总的呼吸系统疾病男女性日入院数均有影响,RR分别为1.14(95%CI=1.01-1.29),1.18(95%CI=1.00-1.41),且仅URTI和肺炎的男性日入院人数差异有统计学意义,RR分别为1.28(95%CI=1.04-1.59),1.17(95%CI=1.00-1.38).结论 沙尘天气与呼吸系统日入院人数有联系,且均表现为滞后影响,而男性URTI和肺炎的发生人群较女性与沙尘天气的联系更为密切.

     

    Abstract: Objective To explore the association of dust events with daily respiratory hospitalization.Methods After controlling long time trend,calendar effect and other meteorological confouding factors,a semi-parametric generalized additive model(GAM)considered simultaneously the effects of dust events up to lags of 7 days was fit to explore the relationship between dust events and daily respiratory hospitalization from 1994 to 2003.At the same time,the association for different sex groups was assessed.Results (1)There were 3-day delayed effect of dust events on total daily respiratory hospitalization and upper respiratory tract infcetion(URTI),their relative risk(RR)were 1.14(95% CI=1.02~1.27)and 1.16(95% CI=1.00~1.36)respectively.(2)There were 3-day delayed effect on both male and female of total daily respiratory hospitalization,their RR were1.14(95% CI=1.01~1.29)and 1.18(95% CI=1.00~1.41)respectively,but only 4-day delayed effect on male of U R TI and 6-day delayed effect on male of pneumonia were found,their RR were 1.28(95% CI=1.04~1.59)and 1.17(95% CI=1.00~1.38)respectively.Conclusion There are the delayed effects of dust events on various daily respiratory hospitalizations;moreover,for URTI and pneumonia,there are close associations of dust events with male hospitalizations than females.

     

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