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张艳芬, 佟伟军, 刘洋, 刘永跃, 高秀英, 怒特, 王健, 布仁巴图, 林哲, 张永红, 李永山, 张显玉. 代谢综合征与心脑血管病及死亡前瞻性队列研究[J]. 中国公共卫生, 2013, 29(10): 1405-1409. DOI: 10.11847/zgggws2013-29-10-01
引用本文: 张艳芬, 佟伟军, 刘洋, 刘永跃, 高秀英, 怒特, 王健, 布仁巴图, 林哲, 张永红, 李永山, 张显玉. 代谢综合征与心脑血管病及死亡前瞻性队列研究[J]. 中国公共卫生, 2013, 29(10): 1405-1409. DOI: 10.11847/zgggws2013-29-10-01
ZHANG Yan-fen, TONG Wei-jun, LIU Yang.et al, . Association between MS and cardio-cerebrovascular disease and total mortality in Inner Mongolian population[J]. Chinese Journal of Public Health, 2013, 29(10): 1405-1409. DOI: 10.11847/zgggws2013-29-10-01
Citation: ZHANG Yan-fen, TONG Wei-jun, LIU Yang.et al, . Association between MS and cardio-cerebrovascular disease and total mortality in Inner Mongolian population[J]. Chinese Journal of Public Health, 2013, 29(10): 1405-1409. DOI: 10.11847/zgggws2013-29-10-01

代谢综合征与心脑血管病及死亡前瞻性队列研究

Association between MS and cardio-cerebrovascular disease and total mortality in Inner Mongolian population

  • 摘要: 目的阐述代谢综合征(MS)与心脑血管疾病及死亡的关联性。方法采用前瞻性队列研究方法,对内蒙古通辽市农牧区2 589名>20岁的蒙古族居民进行8年随访,随访结局事件为心脑血管疾病(脑卒中与冠心病)和死亡,采用多结局Cox比例风险模型,以脑卒中、冠心病和死亡为多结局事件计算MS及其他危险因素对多结局事件的HR值及其95%CI结果对基线人群2 589人随访8年,其中失访率0.23%,随访18 543人年,发生心脑血管疾病及死亡事件共261例;随访期间脑卒中与冠心病的发病密度分别为533.9/10万人年、253.5/10万人年,死亡密度为620.2/10万人年;为了探讨MS对多结局事件(心脑血管病及死亡事件)的危险性,进行多因素多结局Cox比例风险模型拟合,在调整了年龄、性别、高血压家族史3个传统危险因素后,MS对心脑血管疾病及死亡事件(多结局事件)的风险性依然存在HR(95%CI)为1.33(1.02~1.74)。结论心脑血管疾病是威胁农牧区蒙古族居民健康的重要疾病,MS可增加蒙古族农牧民心脑血管疾病及死亡事件发生33%的风险,即MS对心脑血管疾病及死亡的发生有预测作用。

     

    Abstract: Objective To analyze the association between metabolic syndrome(MS)and cardio-cerebrovascular disease and total mortality.Methods A 8-year follow-up study was conducted among 2 589 Mongolian people aged 20-84 years.The observed outcomes were cardio-cerebrovascular disease(stroke and coronary heart disease)and total mortality.Multivariate proportional hazards model was adopted to analyse the hazard ratios(HR)and their 95% confidence intervals(95%CI)of MS and other risk factors for multilple outcomes.Results Among all participants,the lost to follow-up rate was 0.23% and the total follow-up person-years were 18 543.There were 261 incidences of cardiovascular and cerebrovascular diseases observed.During the follow-up,the incidence density of stroke and coronary heart disease were 533.9/100 000 and 253.5/100 000 person-years,respectively,and the mortality density was 620.2/100 000 person-years.After djusting for age,gender,and the history of hypertension,multi-factor proportional hazards model analyses showed that MS was associated with the outcome,with the HR(95% CI)of 1.33(1.02-1.74)(P=0.034).ConclusionMS may increase the risk of cardiovascular disease and total mortality by 33% in Mongolian population,suggesting MS could predict the incidence of cardiovascular disease and death.

     

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