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魏蒙, 王红漫, 王晓军. 中国不同特征老年人失能轨迹差异分析[J]. 中国公共卫生, 2017, 33(12): 1689-1692. DOI: 10.11847/zgggws2017-33-12-04
引用本文: 魏蒙, 王红漫, 王晓军. 中国不同特征老年人失能轨迹差异分析[J]. 中国公共卫生, 2017, 33(12): 1689-1692. DOI: 10.11847/zgggws2017-33-12-04
WEI Meng, WANG Hong-man, WANG Xiao-jun. Difference in disability trajectory among the elderly with different characteristics in China[J]. Chinese Journal of Public Health, 2017, 33(12): 1689-1692. DOI: 10.11847/zgggws2017-33-12-04
Citation: WEI Meng, WANG Hong-man, WANG Xiao-jun. Difference in disability trajectory among the elderly with different characteristics in China[J]. Chinese Journal of Public Health, 2017, 33(12): 1689-1692. DOI: 10.11847/zgggws2017-33-12-04

中国不同特征老年人失能轨迹差异分析

Difference in disability trajectory among the elderly with different characteristics in China

  • 摘要: 目的 了解中国不同特征老年人的失能轨迹的差异,为改善老年人的日常生活自理能力提供参考依据。方法 收集2005、2008和2011年中国老年健康影响因素跟踪调查项目的追踪数据,应用组基轨迹模型拟合出全国23个省(自治区、直辖市)65~105岁老年人的失能轨迹,分析不同特征老年人失能轨迹的差异。结果 7 979名65~105岁中国老年人中,身体健全型老年人2 791人(34.98%),低起点高龄期迅速发展型老年人4 331人(54.28%),较高起点迅速发展型老年人857人(10.74%);存活、死亡、失访老年人失能轨迹比较,2011年不同状态老年人失能轨迹不同,差异有统计学意义(χ2=186.38,P<0.001);不同特征老年人失能轨迹比较,不同性别、出生队列、职业地位、居住地的老年人失能轨迹不同,差异均有统计学意义(均P<0.001)。结论 中国老年人失能轨迹以低起点高龄期迅速发展型为主,不同性别、出生队列、职业地位、居住地的老年人失能轨迹存在明显差异。

     

    Abstract: Objective To investigate the difference in disability trajectories among the elderly with different characteristics in China and to provide references for reducing disability in Chinese elderly.Methods We extracted the data on 7 979 residents aged from 65 to 105 years living in 23 provinces and municipalities or autonomous regions from the results of Chinese Longitudinal Healthy Longevity Survey conducted in 2005,2008,and 2011.We adopted group-based trajectory model to fit and compare the disability trajectories of the elderly with different characteristics.Results Of all the elderly surveyed,34.98% (2 791) were identified with the trajectory of able-bodied,54.28% (4 331) with the trajectory of mild disability at the beginning but rapid exacerbation in the late life,and 10.74% (857) with the trajectory of relatively severe disability at the beginning and then rapid exacerbation,respectively.Significantly different disability trajectories were observed among the elderly being followed-up,passed away,and lost to follow-up based on the data of 2011 (χ2=186.38,P<0.001).The disability trajectories differed significantly by gender,birth year,occupation,and living area among the elderly (P<0.001 for all).Conclusion Mild disability at the beginning but rapid exacerbation in the late life is a major pattern of disability trajectory and the trajectory is mainly influenced by gender,birth year,occupation,and living area among the elderly in China.

     

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