Study on supply and demand development for health manpower resources in Heilongjiang

  Objective   To search characteristics for health manpower resources of Heilongjiang province and project situation of supply and demand about health manpower in 2012.To provide scientific evidence for developing plan in health manpower and medical education enacted by decision-making of government.

  Methods   Efficiency demand and age shift calculating approach which belong to calculating method of health resources requirement recommended by WHO are adopted.Total investigation data for national health service in 1998 are used and predicted situation for supply and demand of health manpower of Heilongjiang province in 2012.

  Results   By 2012, total demand of health technical staffs will be 18.85 ten thousand people.Practical possession of health technical staffs will be 23.25 ten thousand people.

  Conclusion   Large possession、low quality and unbalance distribution of health technical staffs is typical nature of health manpower in Heilongjiang province.It is forecasted that supply of health manpower will be exceeding demand according to rising speed annually graduated form medical university of Heilongjiang province while other influencing factors keeping invariability.