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李锦成, 王霄晔, 许诗瑶, 牛艳, 施国庆, 李群, 王志锋. 2019年与2021年全球卫生安全指数指标及得分比较[J]. 中国公共卫生, 2023, 39(11): 1449-1457. DOI: 10.11847/zgggws1141072
引用本文: 李锦成, 王霄晔, 许诗瑶, 牛艳, 施国庆, 李群, 王志锋. 2019年与2021年全球卫生安全指数指标及得分比较[J]. 中国公共卫生, 2023, 39(11): 1449-1457. DOI: 10.11847/zgggws1141072
LI Jincheng, WANG Xiaoye, XU Shiyao, NIU Yan, SHI Guoqing, LI Qun, WANG Zhifeng. Changes in indicator framework of the Global Health Security Index and scores of the indicators for 195 contracting countries of IHR2005: comparison between 2021 and 2019[J]. Chinese Journal of Public Health, 2023, 39(11): 1449-1457. DOI: 10.11847/zgggws1141072
Citation: LI Jincheng, WANG Xiaoye, XU Shiyao, NIU Yan, SHI Guoqing, LI Qun, WANG Zhifeng. Changes in indicator framework of the Global Health Security Index and scores of the indicators for 195 contracting countries of IHR2005: comparison between 2021 and 2019[J]. Chinese Journal of Public Health, 2023, 39(11): 1449-1457. DOI: 10.11847/zgggws1141072

2019年与2021年全球卫生安全指数指标及得分比较

Changes in indicator framework of the Global Health Security Index and scores of the indicators for 195 contracting countries of IHR2005: comparison between 2021 and 2019

  • 摘要:
      目的  比较2019年与2021年全球卫生安全指数(Global Health Security Index, GHSI)指标及得分,以提高全球卫生安全能力。
      方法  于GHSI官网(https://www.ghsindex.org)下载2019年和2021年GHSI评估报告及原始数据,描述2021年度GHSI指标得分情况及GHSI指标框架和内容的变化情况;采用配对t检验比较2019年与2021年GHSI指标得分差异及配对样本的相关性,采用一般线性回归分析2021年GHSI总得分及一级指标、二级指标,比较总得分及各级指标间的共线性和相关性。
      结果   2021年全球195个国家GHSI平均得分为38.9分(满分 100 分,分为 < 20、20~40、40~60、60~80、 > 80 分 5 个等级),与2019年(40.2分)基本持平;无一个国家得分进入GHSI全球卫生安全指数的最优档(> 80分),且有66.7%的国家总得分低于40分中位数34.9分。在2019年GSHI指标框架基础上,2021年GSHI新增加了3个指标(二级指标)、11个亚指标(三级指标)和31个问题。配对t检验结果显示,2021年与2019年GHSI比较,平均得分提高了0.1分,但差异无统计学意义(P > 0.05);一级指标“预防”及“迅速应对”分别降低了 0.6 分和4.0 分(t = – 2.413、– 9.402,P < 0.05);二级指标“人畜共患病”和“贸易和旅行限制”分别降低了 4.8 分和58.3 分(t = – 6.590、– 33.158,P < 0.001);2019年和2021年GHSI指标中,除“贸易和旅行限制”二级指标呈现不相关(r = 0.117)、“执行应对计划”二级指标呈现弱相关(r = 0.237)外,其他二级指标均有极强的相关性。一般线性回归分析结果显示,2021年GHSI中6个一级指标间不存在共线性,但与总得分有显著的相关性(P < 0.05)。
      结论  全球各国均未做好防范大流行疾病的准备,各国应根据2021年GHSI评估结果对薄弱环节进行调整和完善,以提高预防和应对突发公共卫生事件的能力。

     

    Abstract:
      Objective   To analyze differences in the indicator framework of the Global Health Security Index (GHSI) and the scores of GHSI indicators for 195 contracting countries of International Health Regulations 2005 (IHR2005) between 2019 and 2021.
      Methods   Yearly GHSI evaluation reports and the data on 195 contracting countries of IHR2005 on GHSI indicator scores for years of 2019 and 2021 were downloaded from official GHSI website (https://www.ghsindex.org) and changes in GHSI indicator framework and contracting country-specific scores of GHSI indicators were analyzed. Paired T-test was used to compare between-year differences in and correlations of country-specific scores of GHSI indicators. General linear regression was adopted to assess the collinearities and correlations between total score and scores of primary/secondary indicators of GHSI for 195 contracting countries of IHR2005 in 2021.
      Results  In 2021, the average GHSI score was 38.9 (in a scale with 5 categories and the maximum score of 100) for the 195 contracting countries of IHR2005 nearly the same as that (40.2) of 2019; none of the 195 contracting countries was assessed as having the GHSI score of the optimum grade (the scores of > 80) and 66.7% of the countries were scored below 40, with a median score of 34.9. Compared to that of 2019, the GSHI 2021 index framework was supplemented with 3 secondary indicators, 11 tertiary indicators, and 31 questions. The results of paired T-test showed that the average score of GHSI for the 195 contracting countries in 2021 was increased by 0.1 point against that of 2019, but the difference was not statistically significant (P > 0.05). In comparison with those in 2019, following average scores decreased significantly for primary indicators of preventing the emergence or spread of pathogens (reduced by 0.6, t = – 2.413; P < 0.05) and rapidly responding to/reducing disease transmission (by 4.0, t = – 9.402; P < 0.05), secondary indicators of zoonosis prevention (by 4.8, t = – 6.590; P < 0.001) and trade and travel restrictions (by 58.3, t = – 33.158; P < 0.001). There were strong correlations between country-specific scores of secondary indicators of 2019 and those of 2021, except for the score of trade and travel restrictions (r = 0.117) and the score of implementing response plan (r = 0.237) . General linear regression analysis showed that there was no collinearity among the country-specific scores of 6 primary indicators in 2021, but the total scores of all indicators were significantly correlated with the scores of 6 primary indicators (P < 0.05 for all).
      Conclusion   Based on the assessment using GHSI scores, none of the 195 IHR2005 contracting countries is well prepared for the next probable disease pandemic and the ability to prevent and respond to public health emergencies needs to be improved for the countries.

     

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