高级检索
汪宏莉, 韩一鸣, 陈涛, 韩延柏. 高血压预测最佳肥胖指标及其切点值筛选[J]. 中国公共卫生, 2013, 29(12): 1752-1754. DOI: 10.11847/zgggws2013-29-12-11
引用本文: 汪宏莉, 韩一鸣, 陈涛, 韩延柏. 高血压预测最佳肥胖指标及其切点值筛选[J]. 中国公共卫生, 2013, 29(12): 1752-1754. DOI: 10.11847/zgggws2013-29-12-11
WANG Hong-li, HAN Yi-ming, CHEN Tao.et al, . Screening for optimal obesity index and its cutoff value for prediction of hypertension[J]. Chinese Journal of Public Health, 2013, 29(12): 1752-1754. DOI: 10.11847/zgggws2013-29-12-11
Citation: WANG Hong-li, HAN Yi-ming, CHEN Tao.et al, . Screening for optimal obesity index and its cutoff value for prediction of hypertension[J]. Chinese Journal of Public Health, 2013, 29(12): 1752-1754. DOI: 10.11847/zgggws2013-29-12-11

高血压预测最佳肥胖指标及其切点值筛选

Screening for optimal obesity index and its cutoff value for prediction of hypertension

  • 摘要: 目的筛选预测高血压的最佳肥胖指标并确定其切点值,为高血压的预防控制提供参考依据。方法采用分层随机抽样方法对在辽宁省2010年第三次国民体质监测3个监测点(沈阳、丹东、朝阳市)抽取的5 817名20~69岁成年居民进行体格检查;应用logistic回归模型筛选预测高血压的肥胖指标,通过受试者工作特征曲线(ROC)评价腰围身高比(WSR)、腰围、体质指数(BMI)、腰臀比(WHR)、腹部皮褶厚度和锥削度指数(CI)对高血压的预测效果,以最大约登指数确定其切点值。结果辽宁省20~69岁成年居民高血压检出率为24.9%,其中男性居民为31.6%,高于女性居民的18.3%,差异有统计学意义(χ2=136.7,P<0.001);logistic回归分析结果表明,WSR和BMI为预测成年居民高血压的肥胖指标,其中男、女性WSR的β值分别为0.50和0.58,均大于BMI的0.23和0.20;与其他肥胖指标比较,WSR预测高血压的受试者工作特征曲线下面积(AUC)最大(男性:0.67,95%CI=0.65~0.69;女性:0.72,95%CI=0.70~0.75),且女性WSR的AUC大于男性(P<0.05);WSR预测高血压的切点值男性为0.50,女性为0.49;男、女性WSR大于切点值者高血压的危险度分别是小于切点值者的2.62倍(OR=2.62,95%CI=2.22~3.09)和4.51倍(OR=4.51,95%CI=3.62~5.61)。结论WSR是预测20~69岁成年居民特别是女性高血压的最佳肥胖指标。

     

    Abstract: Objective To explore an optimal obesity index and to calculate the cutoff value for prevention and control of hypertension.Methods By using stratified cluster random sampling method,a total of 5 817 adults aged 20-69 years in Shenyang,Dandong and Chaoyang city in Liaoning province were selected from the participants of China's National Physical Fitness Surveillance in 2010.Physical examination was conducted.The obesity indexes were identified by fitting the logistic regression model.The receiver operating characteristic curve(ROC)analysis was performed to compare the predictive effects of waist-to-stature ratio(WSR),waist circumference,body mass index(BMI),waist-to-hip ratio,abdominal skinfold and conicity index.The optimal cutoff value was determined by maximal Youden's index.Results Among the adults,the prevalence of hypertension was 24.9%.The prevalence in men(31.6%)was significantly different from that in the women(18.3%)(χ2=136.7,P<0.001).Results of logistic regression showed that WSR and BMI were obesity indexes for predicting hypertension.The β coefficients for WSR(men:0.50,women:0.58)were all higher than those of BMI(men:0.23,women:0.20)in both men and women.Compared to other obesity indexes,WSR had the highest area under the ROC curve(AUC)(men:0.67,95% confidence interval(95%CI)=0.65-0.69;women:0.72,95%CI=0.70-0.75),and the AUC in women was significantly higher than in men(P<0.05).The cutoff value of WSR for predicting hypertension was 0.50 in men and 0.49 in women.Risks of development of hypertension in the adults with WSR above the cutoff values were 2.62 times(95%CI=2.22-3.09)in men and 4.51 times(95%CI=3.62-5.61)in women than those under the cutoff values.Conclusion WSR is the optimal obesity index to predict hypertension for adults aged 20-69 years,especially for women.

     

/

返回文章
返回