我国火灾情况的有序样品聚类分析

Ordered specimen cluster analysis on fires in China

摘要:
目的揭示我国火灾发生的客观规律。
方法对我国建国54年的火灾资料进行有序样品聚类分析和描述性统计分析。
结果根据有序样品聚类分析的结果, 可将我国的火灾发生情况分为5个阶段, 每一阶段的火灾特点受到社会经济因素的影响。总体上火灾形势是随着经济发展趋于严重。
结论我国目前处于经济快速增长期, 火灾形势严峻, 针对危险因素积极预防和控制火灾十分必要。

Abstract:
Objective To reveal the objective law of fire in China.
Methods Ordered specimen cluster analysis and descriptive analysis were used to review fire statistics of China from 1950 to 2003.
Results To classify 54 years into 5 stages according to the result of ordered specimen cluster analysis.The fire character istics of every stage were influenced by socioeconomic factors.On the whole, fire situation was more seriously along with the development of economy.
Conclusion Our country is experiencing quick economical development and fire situation is very serious.It is necessary to prevent and control fire in veiw of fire risk factors.