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社交媒体环境下H7N9事件网络舆情演变与比较分析

Evolution trajectory of network public opinion about H7N9 epidemic under social media environment: a comparative analysis

  • 摘要:
      目的  比较2013年与2017年H7N9事件网络舆情演变情况,为社交媒体环境下的网络舆情引导与控制提出建设性意见。
      方法  采用百度指数和新浪微舆情系统对2013年3 — 5月与2017年2 — 4月内网络舆情进行制图、信息搜集与进一步比较分析。
      结果  网络舆情走向图均呈前驱、暴发、波动和消退4个阶段,2017年较2013年舆情波动较小,公众对H7N9事件关注度下降,风险认知水平不均衡导致舆论增加和谣言产生;新媒体尤其是微博使用程度增加,影响力明显提升。
      结论  社交媒体环境下政府应加强网络舆情主体引导和监督工作,媒体应积极引导网络舆论,公众应提升自身的舆论辨析力,三方面主体相辅相成共同营造积极的网络舆情环境。

     

    Abstract:
      Objective  To compare the evolution process of network public opinion about avian influenza A H7N9 virus (H7N9) epidemic in 2013 and 2017 in China for making constructive suggestions to guide and control network public opinion about the issue under social media environment.
      Methods  We collected and analyzed information on network public opinions towards H7N9 epidemic during the epidemic periods from March to May 2013 and from February to April 2017 via Baidu Index and Sina Micro-Public Opinion Big Data Platform. Then we compared dynamic changes in the communication of the opinions between the two periods using descriptive and graphical method.
      Results  The diagrams for variation in network public opinions towards H7N9 epidemic during the two periods showed a four-stage (prodromal, outburst, fluctuation, and regression stage) pattern. Compared to that in 2013, the fluctuation in the network public opinions was relatively low, suggesting a decreased concern on the H7N9 epidemic among the public. The imbalance in risk cognition among the public led to increased communication of opinions on H7N9 epidemic and rumor spreading. The use of new media, especially the use of microblog, obviously enhanced the influence of social media on public opinions about H7N9 epidemic.
      Conclusion  Governmental agencies should strengthen the guidance and supervision on network public opinions on communicable disease epidemic under social media environment and efforts need to be taken by social media, the public, and governmental agencies for the establishment of an active media environment beneficial for the control of communicable disease epidemic.

     

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