高级检索

2009 — 2022年福建省手足口病变化趋势及时空聚集性分析

The changing trends and spatiotemporal clustering of hand, foot, and mouth disease in Fujian province, 2009 – 2022

  • 摘要:
    目的  分析福建省2009 — 2022年手足口病的流行特征、时空聚集性及变化趋势。
    方法 2009 — 2022年福建省手足口病发病数据来源于中国疾病预防控制信息系统的监测报告管理系统,运用描述流行病学、Joinpoint回归、空间自相关分析和时空扫描对福建省手足口病进行分析。
    结果  福建省2009 — 2022年共报告手足口病927366例,年均报告发病率为172.15/10万,重症率为0.62/10万,死亡率为0.018/10万,病死率为10.68/10万,手足口病报告发病率、重症率、死亡率和病死率均呈先升后降趋势。手足口病发病存在明显的季节性,每年有2个发病高峰,主高峰在每年的5 — 6月份,次高峰在9 — 11月份。重点人群为 < 5岁组儿童,占全部病例的91.33%。实验室确诊40637例,占全部确诊病例的4.38%,其中肠道病毒A71型(EV-A71)阳性占28.93%(11756/40637),柯萨奇病毒A16型(COX-A16)阳性占20.38%(8280/40637),其他肠道病毒阳性占50.69%(20601/40637)。福建省手足口病存在时空聚集性(Moran's I值 = 0.15~0.56,P < 0.05),时空扫描共探测到3个聚集区,1个主要聚集区及2个次要聚集区。
    结论  福建省2009 — 2022年手足口病存在明显的时空聚集性,疫情总体呈先升后降趋势,疫情防控重点应以地市为单位,加强对重点人群及在疫情高峰来临之前的手足口病防控工作。

     

    Abstract:
    Objective To analyze the epidemiological characteristics, spatiotemporal clustering, and changing trends of hand, foot, and mouth disease (HFMD) in Fujian province from 2009 to 2022.
    Methods Data on HFMD cases in Fujian province from 2009 to 2022 were obtained from the Surveillance Reporting Management System of the China Information System for Disease Control and Prevention. Descriptive epidemiology, Joinpoint regression, spatial autocorrelation analysis, and spatiotemporal scanning were used to analyze HFMD in Fujian province.
    Results A total of 927 366 HFMD cases were reported in Fujian province from 2009 to 2022, with an average annual reported incidence rate of 172.15/100 000, severe case rate of 0.62/100 000, mortality rate of 0.018/100 000, and case fatality rate of 10.68/100 000. The reported incidence rate, severe case rate, mortality rate, and case fatality rate of HFMD all showed a trend of first increasing and then decreasing. HFMD incidence exhibited obvious seasonality, with two peaks each year, the main peak in May – June and the secondary peak in September – November. The key population was children aged < 5 years, accounting for 91.33% of all cases. Among 40 637 laboratory-confirmed cases, accounting for 4.38% of all confirmed cases, 28.93% (11 756/40 637) were positive for enterovirus A71 (EV-A71), 20.38% (8 280/40 637) were positive for coxsackievirus A16 (COX-A16), and 50.69% (20 601/40 637) were positive for other enteroviruses. Spatiotemporal clustering of HFMD existed in Fujian province (Moran′s I = 0.15 – 0.56, P < 0.05). Spatiotemporal scanning detected three clusters, one primary cluster and two secondary clusters.
    Conclusion Obvious spatiotemporal clustering of HFMD existed in Fujian province from 2009 to 2022, and the overall epidemic trend first increased and then decreased. Prevention and control of the epidemic should focus on the prefecture-level city unit and strengthen HFMD prevention and control for key populations and before the arrival of epidemic peaks.

     

/

返回文章
返回