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全球女性乳腺癌疾病负担社会经济影响因素分析

Socioeconomic indicators related to the global burden of breast cancer in women in 2020: an analysis of WHO data

  • 摘要:
    目的 了解全球女性乳腺癌疾病负担的社会经济影响因素,为进一步优化女性乳腺癌预防、筛查及治疗策略提供参考依据。
    方法 收集世界卫生组织Cancer Tomorrow数据库中2020年全球175个国家女性乳腺癌的世界年龄标化发病率(标化发病率)和世界年龄标化死亡率(标化死亡率)数据,计算得出衡量乳腺癌疾病负担的量化指标乳腺癌病死率(MIR),从《2020世界卫生统计报告》和《2020人类发展报告》中筛选出能够代表国家社会经济发展水平的10个指标,采用相关分析法和多元线性回归模型分析全球女性乳腺癌疾病负担的社会经济影响因素。
    结果 2020年全球175个国家女性乳腺癌标化发病率、标化死亡率和MIR的平均值分别为(49.39 ± 22.35)/10万、(13.85 ± 5.48)/10万和(0.33 ± 0.15)%;女性总人口、城市地区细颗粒物、医护人员密度、药剂师密度、按受援国分列的人均医疗研究和基本卫生部门官方发展援助净额(按受援国分列的人均援助净额)、13项《国际卫生条例》核心能力平均得分(核心能力平均得分)、国内一般政府卫生支出占一般政府支出的百分比(政府卫生支出占比)、使用得到安全管理的环境卫生服务人口比例(使用环境卫生服务的人口比例)、作为政府协调支出计划的一部分且与水和环境卫生有关的官方发展援助额(政府协调支出的发展援助额)和调整后的人类社会发展指数(HDI指数)10个代表国家社会经济发展水平指标的平均值分别为(2138.06 ± 7465.03)万人、(26.58 ± 17.12) μg/m3、(63.97 ± 57.32)人/万人口、(4.01 ± 4.11)人/万人口、(4.11 ± 4.32)美元、(63.65 ± 20.31)分、(10.41 ± 5.17)%、(68.00 ± 28.65)%、(66.05 ± 95.28)百万美元和(0.59 ± 0.19);相关分析结果显示,全球女性乳腺癌MIR与城市地区细颗粒物和按受援国分列的人均援助净额均呈正相关(r = 0.480和0.516,均P < 0.001),与医护人员密度、药剂师密度、核心能力平均得分、政府卫生支出占比、使用环境卫生服务的人口比例和HDI指数均呈现负相关(r = – 0.782、 – 0.639、 – 0.635、 – 0.614、 – 0.624和 – 0.900,均P < 0.001);多元线性回归分析结果显示,按受援国分列的人均援助净额对女性乳腺癌疾病负担具有正向影响(β = 0.003,95%CI = 0.002~0.007),女性总人口(β = – 0.004,95%CI = – 0.005~– 0.003)、医护人员密度(β = – 0.007,95%CI = – 0.008~– 0.006)、药剂师密度(β = – 0.026,95%CI = – 0.030~– 0.021)、核心能力平均得分(β = – 0.005,95%CI = – 0.006~– 0.004)和HDI指数(β = – 0.873,95%CI = – 0.906~– 0.574)对女性乳腺癌疾病负担均具有负向影响。
    结论 全球女性乳腺癌疾病负担受宏观经济水平、卫生资源配置效率、国家对公共卫生的投入和社会环境等多方面社会经济因素的影响。

     

    Abstract:
    Objective To understand the socioeconomic factors that influence the global burden of breast cancer in women and to provide a reference for further optimization of breast cancer prevention, screening, and treatment strategies.
    Methods Data on the global age-standardized incidence rate (standardized incidence rate) and global age-standardized mortality rate (standardized mortality rate) of breast cancer in women from 175 countries around the world in 2020 were collected from the World Health Organization's Cancer Tomorrow database. The breast cancer mortality to incidence ratio (MIR), a quantitative indicator of the burden of breast cancer, was calculated. Ten indicators representing national socioeconomic development were selected from the World Health Statistics 2020 and the Human Development Report 2020. Correlation analysis and multiple linear regression models were used to analyze the socioeconomic factors influencing the global burden of breast cancer in women.
    Results In 2020, the average standardized incidence rate, standardized mortality rate, and MIR of breast cancer among women in 175 countries worldwide were 49.39 ± 22.35/100 000, 13.85 ± 5.48/100 000, and 0.33 ± 0.15%, respectively. The mean values of the 10 selected indicators representing national socioeconomic development were as follows: 2 138.06 ± 7 465.03 million for total female population, 26.58 ± 17.12 μg/m3 for mean annual urban particulate matter concentration; 63.97 ± 57.32 per 10 000 population for density of physicians, 4.01 ± 4.11 per 10 000 population for density of pharmacists, 4.11 ± 4.32 US dollars for net official development assistance received by the medical research and basic health sector per capita, 63.65 ± 20.31 for average of 13 International Health Regulations Core Capacity Scores, 10. 41 ± 5.17% for the percentage of government health expenditure, 68.00 ± 28.65% for the percentage of the population using safely managed sanitation services, 66.05 ± 95.28 million US dollars in official development assistance (ODA) provided through government-coordinated expenditure plans specifically for water and sanitation, and 0.587 ± 0.190 for the inequality-adjusted Human Development Index (HDI). Correlation analysis showed that the global MIR of breast cancer in women was positively correlated with urban particulate matter (r = 0. 480) and net ODA per capita (r = 0. 516) (both P < 0. 001) and negatively correlated with physician density (r = – 0.782), pharmacist density (r = – 0.639), average core capacity score (r = – 0.635), percentage of government health expenditure (r = – 0.614), population using sanitation services (r = – 0.624), and HDI (r = – 0.900) (all P < 0.001). Multiple linear regression analysis showed that net ODA per capita had a positive effect on the female breast cancer burden (β = 0.003, 95% confidence interval 95%CI: 0.002 – 0.007), while total female population (β = – 0.004, 95%CI: – 0.005 to – 0.003), physician density (β = – 0.007, 95%CI: – 0.008 to – 0.006), pharmacist density (β = – 0.026, 95%CI: – 0.030 to – 0.021), average core capacity score (β = – 0.005, 95%CI: – 0.006 to – 0.004), and HDI (β = – 0.873, 95%CI: – 0.906 to – 0.574) had negative effects.
    Conclusion The global burden of breast cancer in women is influenced by a variety of socioeconomic factors, including the macroeconomic level, the efficiency of health resource allocation, national investments in public health, and the social environment.

     

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