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2017—2022年深圳市老年住院患者慢性病共病疾病组合关联分析

Association analysis of chronic disease comorbidity combinations in elderly inpatients in Shenzhen city from 2017 to 2022: an analysis based on medical records data

  • 摘要:
    目的 了解2017—2022年广东省深圳市老年住院患者的慢性病共病现状及常见的关联组合,为慢性病共病管理和防控措施的制定提供科学依据。
    方法 收集2017年1月1日—2022年12月31日深圳市142家一级及以上非中医类医院410 814例≥65岁老年住院患者的病案首页数据,使用频率组合分析常见的慢性病共病疾病组合,并采用关联规则分析常见的非随机疾病组合。
    结果 2017—2022年深圳市410 814例老年住院患者中,患慢性病共病者387 020例,慢性病共病患病比例为94.21%;高血压是深圳市老年住院患者患病率最高的慢性病,患病率为59.14%,其共病构成比为97.79%;最常见的二元和三元疾病组合分别为“高血压+脑卒中”和“高血压+外周动脉疾病+脑卒中”,分别为106 005和55 343例,分别占老年住院患者的25.80%和13.47%;排名前20位的二元和三元疾病组合主要由高血压、脑卒中、缺血性心脏病、心力衰竭、外周动脉病、血脂异常、2型糖尿病等疾病组成,其中心血管疾病占主导,其次为代谢性疾病;关联规则分析结果显示,在排名前20位的规则中,规则“(屈光和调节障碍)=>(白内障)”的提升度最高为6.128,其余的关联规则均涉及心脑血管疾病,其中规则(慢性缺血性心脏病,高血压,外周动脉疾病)=>(心力衰竭)的提升度为3.082。
    结论 深圳市老年住院患者的慢性病共病现状严重,二元和三元疾病组合中心血管疾病占主导,白内障和心脑血管疾病是主要的非随机共病关联模式。

     

    Abstract:
    Objective To investigate the prevalence and common comorbidity patterns of chronic diseases among elderly inpatients in Shenzhen city, Guangdong province, from 2017 to 2022, and to provide scientific evidence for the development of comorbidity management and prevention strategies.
    Methods Data from the discharge summaries of 410 814 inpatients aged 65 years and older from 142 primary and higher-level hospitals in Shenzhen city between January 1, 2017, and December 31, 2022, were collected. Frequency combination analysis was used to identify common chronic disease comorbidity combinations, and association rule analysis was used to identify common non-random disease combinations.
    Results Among the 410 814 elderly inpatients in Shenzhen city from 2017 to 2022, 387 020 (94.21%) had chronic disease comorbidities. Hypertension was the most prevalent chronic disease (59.14%), accounting for 97.79% of the comorbidity composition. The most common two- and three-disease combinations were “hypertension + stroke” (106 005 cases, 25.80%) and “hypertension + peripheral artery disease + stroke” (55 343 cases, 13.47%), respectively. The top 20 two- and three-disease combinations mainly consisted of hypertension, stroke, ischemic heart disease, heart failure, peripheral artery disease, dyslipidemia, and type 2 diabetes, with cardiovascular diseases predominating, followed by metabolic diseases. Association rule analysis showed that among the top 20 rules, the rule “(refractive errors and accommodation disorders) => (cataract)” had the highest lift value of 6.128. The remaining association rules all involved cardiovascular and cerebrovascular diseases, with the rule “(chronic ischemic heart disease, hypertension, peripheral artery disease) => (heart failure)” having a lift value of 3.082.
    Conclusions The prevalence of chronic disease comorbidities among elderly inpatients in Shenzhen city is high. Cardiovascular diseases dominate the two- and three-disease combinations. Cataracts and cardiovascular and cerebrovascular diseases are the main non-random comorbidity association patterns.

     

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