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1990—2019年中国居民脑卒中及其危险因素疾病负担变化趋势分析

The trends in stroke burden and its associated risk factors among Chinese residents from 1990 to 2019

  • 摘要:
    目的 分析1990—2019年中国居民脑卒中及其危险因素疾病负担变化趋势,为制定有针对性的脑卒中防治策略提供科学依据。
    方法 收集2019年全球疾病负担研究(GBD 2019)中1990、2000、2010和2019年中国居民脑卒中的疾病负担相关数据,采用伤残调整寿命年(DALYs)、DALYs率和人群归因分值(PAF)等指标对1990—2019年中国居民脑卒中及其危险因素疾病负担的变化趋势进行分析。
    结果 2019年中国居民脑卒中、缺血性脑卒中和出血性脑卒中的DALYs率均随年龄增长而升高,其中以≥70岁年龄组最高,分别为21 061.26/10万、11 858.11/10万和8 505.17/10万;男性居民脑卒中、缺血性脑卒中和出血性脑卒中的DALYs率分别为3 739.30/10万、1 627.23/10万和1924.07/10万,均高于女性居民的2 701.81/10万、1 376.19/10万和1 184.82/10万;1990—2019年中国居民脑卒中和缺血性脑卒中的DALYs率均有所上升(年均增长率分别为0.44%和2.39%),出血性脑卒中的DALYs率有所下降(年均增长率为–0.08%);2019年DALYs、PAF和DALYs率居于脑卒中前3位的危险因素依次为高收缩压(2 517.63万人年、54.80%和1 770.05/10万)、室外空气污染(1 284.73万人年、27.95%和903.24/10万)、吸烟(1 009.93万人年、21.96%和710.04/10万),居于缺血性脑卒中前3位的危险因素依次为高收缩压(1 089.68万人年、50.94%和766.11/10万)、室外空气污染(573.78万人年、26.81%和403.40/10万)、高低密度脂蛋白胆固醇(442.77万人年、20.69%和311.29/10万),居于出血性脑卒中前3位的危险因素依次为高收缩压(1 291.90万人年、58.18%和908.28/10万)、室外空气污染(640.39万人年、28.82%和450.23/10万)、高钠饮食(542.13万人年、24.40%和381.15/10万);1990—2019年中国居民脑卒中、缺血性脑卒中、出血性脑卒中危险因素PAF上升的和下降的分别为8种和2种、6种和4种、8种和2种,其中室外空气污染的PAF上升幅度均最大(年均增长率分别为2.83%、2.65%、2.90%),高钠饮食的PAF下降幅度均最大(年均增长率分别为–0.36%、–0.43%、–0.16%)。
    结论 1990—2019年中国居民脑卒中的疾病负担仍然较高,DALYs率呈上升趋势,高收缩压始终是造成脑卒中及其亚型疾病负担的首位危险因素。

     

    Abstract:
    Objective To analyze the trends in the burden of stroke and its risk factors among Chinese residents from 1990 to 2019, and to provide a scientific basis for formulating targeted stroke prevention and control strategies.
    Methods Data on the burden of stroke among Chinese residents in 1990, 2000, 2010, and 2019 were collected from the 2019 Global Burden of Disease Study (GBD 2019). Indicators such as disability-adjusted life years (DALYs), DALY rates, and population attributable fractions (PAFs) were used to analyze the trends in the burden of stroke and its risk factors among Chinese residents from 1990 to 2019.
    Results In 2019, the DALY rates of stroke, ischemic stroke, and hemorrhagic stroke among Chinese residents increased with age, with the highest rates observed in the ≥70 age group (21 061.26/100 000, 11 858.11/100 000, and 8 505.17/100 000, respectively). The DALY rates of stroke, ischemic stroke, and hemorrhagic stroke were higher in men (3 739.30/100 000, 1 627.23/100 000, and 1 924.07/100 000, respectively) than in women (2 701.81/100 000, 1 376.19/100 000, and 1 184.82/100 000, respectively). From 1990 to 2019, the DALY rates of stroke and ischemic stroke increased (with average annual growth rates of 0.44% and 2.39%, respectively), while the DALY rate of hemorrhagic stroke decreased (with an average annual growth rate of –0.08%). In 2019, the top three risk factors for stroke in terms of DALYs, PAFs, and DALY rates were high systolic blood pressure (251763 million person-years, 54.80%, and 1 770.05/100 000, respectively), ambient air pollution (128473 million person-years, 27.95%, and 903.24/100 000, respectively), and smoking (10.099 3 million person-years, 21.96%, and 710.04/100 000, respectively). The top three risk factors for ischemic stroke were high systolic blood pressure (10.896 8 million person-years, 50.94%, and 766.11/100 000, respectively), ambient air pollution (5.737 8 million person-years, 26.81%, and 403.40/100 000, respectively), and high LDL cholesterol (4.427 7 million person-years, 20.69%, and 311.29/100 000, respectively). The top three risk factors for hemorrhagic stroke were high systolic blood pressure (12.919 0 million person-years, 58.18%, and 908.28/100 000, respectively), ambient air pollution (6.403 9 million person-years, 28.82%, and 450.23/100 000, respectively), and high-sodium diet (5.421 3 million person-years, 24.40%, and 381.15/100 000, respectively). From 1990 to 2019, the PAFs of eight risk factors for stroke increased and two decreased, six risk factors for ischemic stroke increased and four decreased, and eight risk factors for hemorrhagic stroke increased and two decreased. Among these, the PAF of ambient air pollution showed the largest increase (with average annual growth rates of 2.83%, 2.65%, and 2.90%, respectively), while the PAF of high-sodium diet showed the largest decrease (with average annual growth rates of –0.36%, –0.43%, and –0.16%, respectively).
    Conclusions The burden of stroke among Chinese residents remained high from 1990 to 2019, with an increasing trend in DALY rates. High systolic blood pressure remained the leading risk factor for stroke and its subtypes.

     

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