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农村老年人多维社会剥夺评价指标体系构建

Development of an index system for assessing multidimensional Ssocial deprivation among rural older adults in China: a Delphi study

  • 摘要:
    目的 构建契合农村老年人的多维社会剥夺评价指标体系,为了解当前中国农村老年人多维社会剥夺现状提供测量工具。
    方法 通过文献研究法和专家小组讨论法初步确定农村老年人多维社会剥夺评价指标体系,遴选18名从事相关领域的专家进行两轮德尔菲专家咨询,应用层次分析法计算各级指标的权重。
    结果 两轮咨询的专家积极系数分别为100.0%和94.1%,专家权威系数分别为0.872和0.856,专家意见的协调系数分别为0.216和0.193(均P<0.05),专家意见的协调性较好;经过专家咨询后建立了农村老年人多维社会剥夺评价指标体系,包括一级指标7个和二级指标37个,专家在2轮咨询中对各指标重要性的评分分别为(4.46±0.74)分和(4.52±0.74)分,变异系数分别为0.05~0.27和0.00~0.24;在构建的评价指标体系中,一级指标权重为0.087 1~0.213 0,二级指标权重为0.017 4~0.087 3。
    结论 构建的农村老年人多维社会剥夺评价指标体系具有良好的科学性和可靠性,可为评估农村老年人多维社会剥夺提供测量内容和量化依据,为多维社会剥夺相关研究提供参考。

     

    Abstract:
    Objective To develop an evaluation system for assessing multidimensional social deprivation among rural older adults in China, and to provide a measurement tool for understanding the current status of multidimensional social deprivation among this population.
    Methods A preliminary multidimensional social deprivation index system for rural older adults was developed through a literature review and expert panel discussions. Eighteen experts in related fields, selected for their expertise and experience, participated in a two-round Delphi consultation to refine and validate the index system. The Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) was used to calculate the weights of the indicators at each level, with pairwise comparisons used to ensure consistency in the weighting process.
    Results he expert response rates for the two rounds of consultation were 100.0% and 94.1%, respectively. The coefficient of expert authority, reflecting the experts' credibility, was 0.872 and 0.856 for the two rounds. Kendall's coefficient of concordance (W) for expert opinions was 0.216 and 0.193 (all P<0.05), indicating moderate agreement among the experts. After expert consultation, a multidimensional index of social deprivation for rural older adults was constructed, including seven first-level indicators and 37 second- level indicators. The experts' scores for the importance of each indicator, on a 5- point Likert scale, were 4.46±0.74 and 4.52±0.74 in the two rounds of consultation, with coefficients of variation ranging from 0.05 to 0.27 and 0.00 to 0.24, respectively. In the constructed index system, the weights of the first-level indicators ranged from 0.087 1 to 0.213 0, and the weights of the second-level indicators ranged from 0.017 4 to 0.087 3.
    Conclusions The multidimensional index of social deprivation developed for the rural elderly population demonstrates robust scientific validity and reliability. This instrument provides a comprehensive measurement framework and quantitative basis for assessing multidimensional social deprivation in rural elderly communities, while also providing valuable reference points for subsequent research in this area.

     

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