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2015—2023年广东省手足口病疾病负担分析:基于监测资料

Analysis of the disease burden of hand, foot, and mouth disease in Guangdong province from 2015 to 2023: based on surveillance data

  • 摘要:
    目的 了解2015—2023年广东省手足口病各病例类型的社会经济负担。
    方法 结合既往疾病经济负担研究及2015—2023年广东省手足口病发病数据,对普通型病例(包含门诊及住院病例)、重症病例及死亡病例的疾病经济负担进行估算,对不同年龄组手足口病死亡病例早亡所导致的人均生产力损失采用人力资本法进行计算。
    结果 2015—2023年广东省手足口病总发病例数为2 727 381例,其中99.96%为普通型病例,其他为重症病例932例、死亡病例33例。2015—2023年手足口病对广东省造成的经济损失除了2020—2022年(估算每年0.76亿~3.70亿元)出现下降之外,其他年份(估算每年3.57亿~5.23亿元)未见明显上升或下降趋势。其中普通型病例的疾病经济负担约占99.38%;重症病例的疾病经济负担约占0.59%,从2015年的0.05亿元波动下降到2023年的75.63万元;死亡病例的疾病经济负担约占1.03%,从2015年的0.06亿元波动下降到2022—2023年无死亡病例,死亡病例中早亡损失约占死亡损失的98.41%~98.66%。
    结论 2015—2023年手足口病在广东省造成的社会经济负担除了2020—2022年出现下降之外,总体平稳,主要由普通型病例的疾病经济负担构成,重症、死亡病例的经济负担呈现波动下降趋势。建议继续关注手足口病经济负担构成变化,适时调整防控策略。

     

    Abstract:
    Objective To estimate the socio-economic burden caused by various types of hand-foot-mouth disease (HFMD) cases in Guangdong province from 2015 to 2023.
    Methods On the basis of the previous studies of disease economic burden and the data of HFMD reported in Guangdong from 2015 to 2023, the economic burdens of common cases (including outpatients and inpatients), severe cases, and death cases of HFMD were estimated. The per capita productivity loss caused by premature death of HFMD in different age groups was calculated by the human capital method.
    Results From 2015 to 2023, a total of 2 727 381 cases of HFMD were reported in Guangdong province, with 99.96% classified as common cases, 932 severe cases, and 33 death cases. The annual economic loss attributable to HFMD in Guangdong province during this period remained stable at 357 million–523 million CNY, except for a notable decrease between 2020 and 2022, when it was estimated at 76 million–370 million CNY. The economic burden of common cases accounted for 99.38%. The economic burden of severe cases accounted for 0.59%, showing a fluctuating downward trend from 5 million CNY in 2015 to 0.756 3 million CNY in 2023. The economic burden associated with death cases accounted for 1.03%, exhibiting a declining trend from 6 million CNY in 2015 to no death in 2022–2023, with premature death losses constituting 98.41%–98.66% of total death losses.
    Conclusions The socio-economic burden caused by HFMD in Guangdong province has been generally stable from 2015 to 2023, apart from a decline in 2020–2022. The burden was mainly attributable to common cases, and the disease burden of severe and death cases decreased with fluctuations. It is recommended that we should closely monitor changes in the composition of the economic burden of HFMD and adjust prevention and control strategies accordingly.

     

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