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2012—2023年江西省急性弛缓性麻痹病例残留麻痹发生情况及其影响因素分析

Residual paralysis and its influencing factors among acute flaccid paralysis cases in Jiangxi province from 2012 to 2023: a longitudinal study

  • 摘要:
    目的 了解2012—2023年江西省急性弛缓性麻痹(AFP)病例残留麻痹情况及其影响因素,为减少残留麻痹策略的制定提供参考依据。
    方法 收集中国疾病预防控制信息系统中江西省2012年1月1日—2023年12月31日报告的2118例AFP病例相关数据,分析该地区AFP病例残留麻痹情况及其影响因素。
    结果 江西省2012—2023年报告的2118例AFP病例中,残留麻痹者338例,残留麻痹发生率为15.96%;多因素非条件logistic 回归分析结果显示,女童、发病到就诊间隔时间≥3 d、肠道病毒分离培养结果为非脊髓灰质炎(脊灰)肠道病毒或脊灰病毒阳性、有颈项强直、有肢体感觉障碍、有大小便失禁和深部腱反射异常与江西省AFP病例残留麻痹的呈正相关联,年龄≥1岁、学生、累计服用脊灰疫苗≥3次、有腹泻和有肌肉疼痛与江西省AFP病例残留麻痹呈负相关联。
    结论 江西省2012—2023年AFP病例残留麻痹发生率较高,性别、年龄、人群类型、累计服用脊灰疫苗次数、发病到就诊间隔时间、肠道病毒分离培养结果以及有无腹泻、颈项强直、肌肉疼痛、肢体感觉障碍、大小便失禁、深部腱反射异常可能是该地区AFP病例残留麻痹发生的主要影响因素。

     

    Abstract:
    Objective To investigate the residual paralysis in acute flaccid paralysis (AFP) cases and its influencing factors in Jiangxi province from 2012 to 2023, and to provide a reference for the development of strategies to reduce residual paralysis.
    Methods Data on 2118 AFP cases reported in Jiangxi province from January 1, 2012, to December 31, 2023, were collected from the Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention Information System. The residual paralysis status and its influencing factors were analyzed.
    Results Among the 2118 AFP cases reported in Jiangxi province from 2012 to 2023, 338 cases had residual paralysis, with a residual paralysis rate of 15.96%. Multivariable unconditional logistic regression analysis showed that female sex, an interval of ≥ 3 days from onset to medical visit, a positive non-polio enterovirus or poliovirus isolation culture result, the presence of nuchal rigidity, the presence of limb sensory disturbance, the presence of urinary or fecal incontinence, and abnormal deep tendon reflexes were risk factors for residual paralysis in AFP cases in Jiangxi province. Age ≥ 1 years old, student status, having received ≥ 3 doses of polio vaccine, the presence of diarrhea, and the presence of muscle pain were protective factors against residual paralysis in AFP cases in Jiangxi province.
    Conclusions The incidence of residual paralysis in AFP cases in Jiangxi province from 2012 to 2023 was relatively high. Sex, age, population type, number of polio vaccine doses received, interval from onset to medical visit, enterovirus isolation culture results, and the presence or absence of diarrhea, nuchal rigidity, muscle pain, limb sensory disturbance, urinary or fecal incontinence, and abnormal deep tendon reflexes were the main influencing factors for residual paralysis in AFP cases in this region.

     

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