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基于德尔菲法的中华预防医学会分支机构考核评价指标体系构建

Construction of an evaluation index system for branches of the Chinese Preventive Medicine Association based on the Delphi method

  • 摘要:
    目的  构建中华预防医学会分支机构考核评价指标体系,为其科学管理和绩效评估提供依据。
    方法 基于文献研究和理论分析初步构建分支机构考核评价指标体系,2024年10—12月采用德尔菲法选取22名专家进行两轮咨询以确定指标体系,利用层次分析法计算指标权重。
    结果 两轮咨询的专家积极系数(100.00%和90.91%)、权威系数(0.925)均较高,第一轮和第二轮指标重要性评分均值分别为(4.56±0.28)分和(4.59±0.26)分,第二轮协调系数为0.294~0.393(均P<0.05),介于正常范围值,专家意见趋于一致。最终确定的指标体系包括3项一级指标、14项二级指标和27项三级指标,三级指标综合权重值在0.015 9~0.157 7。
    结论 本研究构建的指标体系具有较高的科学性、可靠性和应用价值,能够全面反映中华预防医学会分支机构的工作成效,为其考核评价提供科学依据,有助于推动我国疾病预防控制事业的高质量发展和健康中国建设。

     

    Abstract:
    Objective To establish an evaluation index system for branches of the Chinese Preventive Medicine Association, providing a basis for the management and performance assessment of these branches.
    Methods On the basis of literature research and theoretical analysis, an initial evaluation index system for the branches was constructed. The Delphi method was used to consult 22 experts in two rounds from October to December 2024 and then determine the index system, and the analytic hierarchy process was employed to calculate the weights of the indexes.
    Results The positive coefficients of the experts in the two rounds of consultation were 100.00% and 90.91%, respectively, and the authority coefficient was 0.925. The mean scores of the importance of the indexes in the first and second rounds were (4.56 ± 0.28) and (4.59 ± 0.26), respectively. The coordination coefficients in the second round ranged from 0.294 to 0.393 (all P < 0.05), indicating that the expert opinions tended to be consistent. The finally determined index system was composed of 3 first-level indexes, 14 second-level indexes, and 27 third-level indexes, with the comprehensive weights of the third-level indexes ranging from 0.015 9 to 0.157 7.
    Conclusions The index system constructed in this study demonstrates high scientific rigor, reliability, and practical value. It comprehensively reflects the performance of branches of the Chinese Preventive Medicine Association, providing a scientific basis for their assessment and evaluation. This system will contribute to promoting the high-quality development of China’s disease prevention and control efforts and advancing the Healthy China initiative.

     

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