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中国老年人失能指数及其影响因素:基于2011—2018年CHARLS数据分析

Disability index of Chinese older adults and its influencing factors: an analysis based on CHARLS data from 2011 to 2018

  • 摘要:
    目的 了解中国老年人2011—2018年失能指数及影响因素,为制定和调整失能预防政策提供参考依据。
    方法 收集中国健康与养老追踪调查(CHARLS)中2011—2018年17 928名≥60岁老年人失能指数相关数据。采用Mann-Kendall趋势检验分析2011—2018年中国老年人失能指数变化趋势,并应用广义估计方程(GEE)分析老年人失能指数的影响因素。
    结果 中国17 928名≥60岁老年人的失能指数得分为29.17(15.28,44.17)分,2011年、2013年、2015年和2018年失能指数得分分别为28.89(13.89,44.44)、26.94(14.44,41.11)、27.22(13.89,43.68)和32.22(22.78,46.11)分。2011—2018年老年人失能指数呈先好转后恶化趋势(τb=0.066,P<0.001)。GEE分析结果显示,调查时点为2018年、女性、年龄≥75岁、中部地区、西部地区、居住在农村、无医疗保险、患≥1种慢性病和有跌倒史的中国老年人失能指数较高。调查时点为2013和2015年、文化程度小学及以上、在婚、自评记忆一般和好的中国老年人失能指数较低。
    结论 中国老年人2011—2018年失能指数呈先好转后恶化趋势;调查时点、性别、年龄、文化程度、婚姻状况、地区、居住地、有无医疗保险、是否患慢性病、有无跌倒史和自评记忆情况是中国老年人失能指数的主要影响因素。

     

    Abstract:
    Objective To understand the disability index and its influencing factors among Chinese older adults from 2011 to 2018 and provide a reference for the development and adjustment of disability prevention policies.
    Methods We collected the data related to the disability index of 17 928 older adults aged 60 years and above in the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study (CHARLS) from 2011 to 2018. We conducted the Mann-Kendall trend test to analyze the trend of disability index in Chinese older adults from 2011 to 2018 and adopted the generalized estimating equation (GEE) to analyze its influencing factors.
    Results The median score of disability index was 29.17 (15.28, 44.17) among 17 928 older adults aged 60 years and above in China. The median scores of disability index in 2011, 2013, 2015, and 2018 were 28.89 (13.89, 44.44), 26.94 (14.44, 41.11), 27.22 (13.89, 43.68), and 32.22 (22.78, 46.11), respectively. From 2011 to 2018, the disability index of older adults first improved and then worsened (τb = 0.066, P < 0.001). The results of the GEE analysis showed that the disability index was higher among Chinese older adults with a survey time point of 2018, being female, aged ≥ 75 years, in central or western China, residing in rural areas, having no medical insurance, suffering from ≥ 1 chronic disease, and having a history of falls. Chinese older adults with a survey time point of 2013 or 2015, having a primary school education or above, being married, and having a self-rated memory as fair or good had a lower disability index.
    Conclusions The disability index of Chinese older adults showed a trend of first improvement and then deterioration from 2011 to 2018. The survey time point, gender, age, education background, marital status, region, residence place, medical insurance, chronic disease, history of falls, and self-rated memory were the main influencing factors of the disability index in Chinese older adults.

     

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