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2009—2023年广西壮族自治区15岁以下儿童乙肝流行特征及时空聚集性分析

Epidemic characteristics and spatial-temporal clustering of hepatitis B in children aged under 15 years in Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region, 2009–2023

  • 摘要:
    目的  分析2009—2023年广西壮族自治区15岁以下儿童乙型肝炎(简称“乙肝”)的流行特征、时空聚集性及其变化趋势。
    方法  收集中国疾病预防控制信息系统中的相关数据,采用描述性分析、空间自相关分析及时空扫描分析方法,探讨广西15岁以下儿童乙肝的时空分布特征及其聚集模式。
    结果  2009—2023年,广西15岁以下儿童乙肝报告发病率整体呈下降趋势。男女发病率性别比为1.77:1,10~<15岁年龄组年均发病率最高(6.35/10万)。空间自相关分析显示,广西儿童乙肝发病率存在显著空间聚集性,高–高聚集主要集中在桂西及部分中部地区,低–低聚集集中于桂东北部区域。时空扫描分析共探测到2个高发病聚集区及1个低发病聚集区。
    结论  广西儿童乙肝防控成效显著,但仍存在时空聚集现象,高发病区域需加强疫苗接种、母婴阻断和健康教育等策略,低发区应进一步巩固现有防控措施,以持续降低儿童乙肝的发病率。

     

    Abstract:
    Objective To analyze the epidemiological characteristics, spatial-temporal clustering, and change trend of hepatitis B among children aged under 15 years in Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region from 2009 to 2023.
    Methods The research data were collected from the China Information System of Disease Control and Prevention. The descriptive analysis, spatial autocorrelation analysis, and spatio-temporal scanning analysis were performed to explore the spatio-temporal distribution characteristics and clustering pattern of hepatitis B in children aged under 15 years in Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region.
    Results From 2009 to 2023, the reported incidence of hepatitis B in children aged under 15 years in Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region showed a downward trend. The sex ratio of male to female incidence was 1.77∶1. The average annual incidence was the highest (6.35/100 000) in the age group of 10 to <15 years. Spatial autocorrelation analysis showed that there was significant spatial clustering in the incidence of hepatitis B among children in Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region. High-high clustering was mainly concentrated in western Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region and some central regions, while low-low clustering was concentrated in northeastern Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region. Spatiotemporal scanning analysis detected 2 high-incidence clusters and 1 low-incidence cluster.
    Conclusions The prevention and control of hepatitis B in children in Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region has achieved remarkable results, while there is still a phenomenon of spatial-temporal clustering. In high-incidence areas, it is necessary to strengthen strategies such as vaccination, mother-to-child blocking, and health education. In low-incidence areas, existing prevention and control measures should be kept to consolidate the reduction in the incidence of hepatitis B in children.

     

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