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龙政, 刘威, 王黎君, 周脉耕, 殷鹏. “一带一路”沿线主要国家2009年与2019年居民期望寿命及死亡状况比较[J]. 中国公共卫生, 2022, 38(8): 1048-1053. DOI: 10.11847/zgggws1136718
引用本文: 龙政, 刘威, 王黎君, 周脉耕, 殷鹏. “一带一路”沿线主要国家2009年与2019年居民期望寿命及死亡状况比较[J]. 中国公共卫生, 2022, 38(8): 1048-1053. DOI: 10.11847/zgggws1136718
LONG Zheng, LIU Wei, WANG Li-jun, . Population life expectancy and mortality in main countries along the "Belt and Road": a comparison analysis[J]. Chinese Journal of Public Health, 2022, 38(8): 1048-1053. DOI: 10.11847/zgggws1136718
Citation: LONG Zheng, LIU Wei, WANG Li-jun, . Population life expectancy and mortality in main countries along the "Belt and Road": a comparison analysis[J]. Chinese Journal of Public Health, 2022, 38(8): 1048-1053. DOI: 10.11847/zgggws1136718

“一带一路”沿线主要国家2009年与2019年居民期望寿命及死亡状况比较

Population life expectancy and mortality in main countries along the "Belt and Road": a comparison analysis

  • 摘要:
      目的  比较“一带一路”沿线主要国家2009年和2019年居民期望寿命及死亡状况,为持续深化“一带一路”国家在卫生健康领域的合作以及中国积极参与全球卫生治理提供数据支持。
      方法  收集2019年全球疾病负担研究(GBD 2019)中“一带一路”沿线13个主要国家居民2009年和2019年期望寿命及死亡状况相关数据,比较2009年和2019年各国居民期望寿命和传染病、母婴疾病和营养缺乏性疾病,慢性病,伤害的死亡变化情况。
      结果  2019年“一带一路”沿线13个主要国家居民期望寿命与2009年相比均有所增加,其中期望寿命增加最大的国家为缅甸(5.5岁),最小的国家为越南和菲律宾(均1.4岁)。与2009年相比,2019年“一带一路”沿线13个主要国家居民传染病、母婴疾病和营养缺乏性疾病,慢性病,伤害的标化死亡率均有所下降,传染病、母婴和营养缺乏性疾病标化死亡率降幅最大的为缅甸(47.1 %),降幅最小的为泰国(10.5 %);慢性病标化死亡率降幅最大的为俄罗斯(21.5 %),降幅最小的为印度尼西亚(2.9 %);伤害标化死亡率降幅最大的为俄罗斯(33.0 %),降幅最小的为土耳其(4.7 %)。与2009年相比,2019年“一带一路”沿线13个主要国家中 ≥ 70岁居民死亡率以伊朗的涨幅最大(5.5 %),以孟加拉国的降幅最大(13.4 %)。2009年和2019年传染病、母婴和营养缺乏性疾病死因占比最低的分别为俄罗斯(4.3 %)和中国(3.3 %),最高的均为巴基斯坦(47.5 %和39.0 %);慢性病死因占比最低的均为巴基斯坦(46.8 %和55.3 %),最高的分别为土耳其(88.1 %)和中国(90.1 %);伤害死因占比最低的均为土耳其(5.0 %和4.9 %),最高的均为伊朗(14.9 %和10.5 %)。不同国家及不同人群之间死因顺位存在差异,脑卒中和缺血性心脏病均为2009年和2019年除埃及、印度、巴基斯坦外其他“一带一路”沿线10个主要国家居民的前2位死亡原因。
      结论  “一带一路”沿线13个主要国家居民的期望寿命及死亡状况存在较大差异,各国之间应加强合作,优势互补,进一步提升居民的健康水平。

     

    Abstract:
      Objective  To compare life expectancy and mortality among populations in main countries along "Belt and Road" between 2009 and 2019 for providing evidences to promote sustained health cooperation with the countries and active participation in global health governance.
      Methods  Data on life expectancy and mortality of residents in 13 major countries along the “Belt and Road” were collected from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019 (GBD 2019). Life expectancy and mortality of infectious diseases, maternal and infant diseases, nutritional deficiencies, chronic diseases, and injury in 2009 and 2019 were compared among these countries.
      Results  The life expectancy of residents in all the 13 major countries along the “Belt and Road” in 2019 increased compared with those in 2009, with the highest increment in Myanmar (5.5 years), and the lowest in Vietnam and the Philippines (both 1.4 years). Compared with those in 2009, the age standardized mortality rate of infectious diseases, maternal and infant diseases, nutritional deficiencies, chronic diseases, and injury among residents of 13 major countries along the “Belt and Road” have decreased in 2019, and the highest decline in the age standardized mortality rate of infectious diseases, maternal and infant diseases and nutritional deficiencies was seen in Myanmar (47.1%) and the lowest decline was seen in Thailand (10.5%). The highest decline in the age standardized mortality rate of chronic diseases was in Russia (21.5%), and the lowest decline was in Indonesia (2.9%). Russia had the highest decrease (33.0%) in age standardized mortality rate for injury, and the lowest decrease was seen in Turkey (4.7%). Compared with those in 2009, among the 13 major countries along the “Belt and Road” in 2019, Iran had the highest increase in the mortality rate of residents aged 70 and older (5.5%), and Bangladesh had the highest decrease (13.4%). In 2009 and 2019, the proportion of causes of death from infectious diseases, maternal and infant diseases, and nutritional deficiencies were the lowest in Russia (4.3%) and in China (3.3%), and the highest were both in Pakistan (47.5% and 39.0%); for chronic diseases, the proportion was the lowest in Pakistan (46.8% and 55.3%), and the highest was in Turkey (88.1%) and in China (90.1%); the lowest proportion of deaths caused by injury was seen in Turkey (5.0% and 4.9%), and the highest was in Iran (14.9% and 10.5%). There were differences in the ranking of causes of death among different populations and countries. Stroke and ischemic heart disease were the leading two causes in 10 major countries along the “Belt and Road” in 2009 and 2019 except for in Egypt, India, and Pakistan.
      Conclusion  The life expectancy and mortality varied substantially for residents in 13 major countries along the “Belt and Road”. Health cooperation should be strengthened among the countries.

     

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