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刘学恩, 李群娜, 赵宗群. 气温及冷空气对武汉市心脑血管疾病死亡率的影响[J]. 中国公共卫生, 2002, 18(8): 948-950. DOI: 10.11847/zgggws2002-18-08-28
引用本文: 刘学恩, 李群娜, 赵宗群. 气温及冷空气对武汉市心脑血管疾病死亡率的影响[J]. 中国公共卫生, 2002, 18(8): 948-950. DOI: 10.11847/zgggws2002-18-08-28
LIU Xue-en, LI Qun-na, ZHAO Zong-qun. Influence of Temperature and Cold Air on Mortality of Cardio-and Cerebral Vascular Diseases[J]. Chinese Journal of Public Health, 2002, 18(8): 948-950. DOI: 10.11847/zgggws2002-18-08-28
Citation: LIU Xue-en, LI Qun-na, ZHAO Zong-qun. Influence of Temperature and Cold Air on Mortality of Cardio-and Cerebral Vascular Diseases[J]. Chinese Journal of Public Health, 2002, 18(8): 948-950. DOI: 10.11847/zgggws2002-18-08-28

气温及冷空气对武汉市心脑血管疾病死亡率的影响

Influence of Temperature and Cold Air on Mortality of Cardio-and Cerebral Vascular Diseases

  • 摘要: 目的 探讨气温及冷空气对武汉市心脑血管疾病死亡人数和死亡率的影响,并为制订防治对策提供依据.方法 对武汉市1991~1998年(除去1995年)共1220例因心脑血管疾病死亡的病例进行分析.描述并分析心脑血管疾病死亡人数和死亡率与月平均气温和冷空气的关系.结果 心脑血管疾病(CVD)死亡率在冬天有一个主峰,7月份还有一个次峰.相关分析显示:夏季气温与CVD死亡率为正相关,中年组(G1:年龄45~65岁)相关系数无显着意义,老年组(G2:年龄≥65岁)有显着性意义(P<0.05);其余三季气温和CVD死亡率呈负相关,中老年组均有显着性(P<0.05).回归分析显示:夏季气温与CVD死亡率的回归方程老年组(G2)为,Y=0.86T-7.154(P<0.05).其余三季气温与CVD死亡率的回归方程中年组(G1)为:Y=6.175-0.125T(P<0.05);老年组(G2)为:Y=24.58-0.415T(P<0.05).从冷空气与CVD死亡人数的月分布曲线可知武汉的冷空气对死亡率影响不大,冷空气与CVD死亡率的相关系数无显着性(P>0.05).结论 气温与CVD死亡率在夏季呈正相关,在其余三季呈负相关.

     

    Abstract: Objective To research the influence of temperatare and cold air on the deaths and mortality of cardio and cerebral vascular disease(CVD)in Wuhan,and to indicate the preventive measures.Methods That 1 220 dead cases from CVD from 1991 and 1998(exclude 1995)were analyzed in Wuhan to describe and analyze the relationship between the deaths mortality of CVD and monthly average temperature,cold air.Results The deaths of CVD shows a dominant peak in J anuary and a second peak in July.Simple correlation analysis shows a positive correlation between temperature and the monality of CVD in summer:correlation coefficient is no significance in group 1(aging from 45 to 65years)(P>0.05),correlation coefficient is significance in group 2(age at≥65years)(P<0.05);and a negative in other seasons:correlation coefficients are significance in group 1 and group 2(P<0.05).The regression equation for temperature and the mortality of CVD in summer,Y= 0186 T-7.154(P<0.05)(for group 2),and in other seasons,Y=6.175-0.125 T(P<0.05)(for group 1),Y=24.5801415 T(P<0.05)(for group 2).Cold air slightly affects the deaths of CVD comparing with their distribution chart.Simple correlation analysis showed that the correlation coefficient is no significant between cold air and the mortality of CVD.Conclusion There is a positive correlation between temperature and the mortality of CVD in summer,and a negative one in other seasons.

     

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