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查文婷, 刘意, 郑剑, 李俊华, 刘富强, 梁维君. 湖南省2004—2013年细菌性痢疾时空格局GIS技术分析[J]. 中国公共卫生, 2015, 31(10): 1297-1300. DOI: 10.11847/zgggws2015-31-10-18
引用本文: 查文婷, 刘意, 郑剑, 李俊华, 刘富强, 梁维君. 湖南省2004—2013年细菌性痢疾时空格局GIS技术分析[J]. 中国公共卫生, 2015, 31(10): 1297-1300. DOI: 10.11847/zgggws2015-31-10-18
ZHA Wen-ting, LIU Yi, ZHENG Jian.et al, . Spatio-temporal distribution of bacterial dysentery from 2004 to 2013 in Hunan province:analysis with geographic information system[J]. Chinese Journal of Public Health, 2015, 31(10): 1297-1300. DOI: 10.11847/zgggws2015-31-10-18
Citation: ZHA Wen-ting, LIU Yi, ZHENG Jian.et al, . Spatio-temporal distribution of bacterial dysentery from 2004 to 2013 in Hunan province:analysis with geographic information system[J]. Chinese Journal of Public Health, 2015, 31(10): 1297-1300. DOI: 10.11847/zgggws2015-31-10-18

湖南省2004—2013年细菌性痢疾时空格局GIS技术分析

Spatio-temporal distribution of bacterial dysentery from 2004 to 2013 in Hunan province:analysis with geographic information system

  • 摘要: 目的了解湖南省细菌性痢疾的时空分布格局, 为强化公共卫生资源的优化配置、开展有效防治措施提供科学依据。方法收集湖南省2004—2013年细菌性痢疾发病的相关数据和资料, 描述细菌性痢疾发病的三间分布特征, 应用地理信息系统(GIS)对其时空分布格局进行分析。结果湖南省2004—2013年细菌性痢疾发病率为14.83/10万, 男性发病率为17.10/10万, 女性发病率为12.41/10万, 0~20岁发病率较高(32.6/10万), 职业构成以散居儿童(34.93%)、农民(25.49%)、学生(14.12%)为主;2004—2009年湖南省发病率逐年升高, 而2009—2013年发病率又逐渐下降, 常德、岳阳、长沙、益阳、娄底、邵阳、张家界和郴州等8个市发病例数呈先升后降的抛物线形状, 湘潭、衡阳、怀化呈持续下降趋势, 株洲、永州10年基本持平, 而湘西自治州在2013年出现升高现象;空间分布中, 湘西自治州发病率最高(39.99/10万), 其次是郴州(23.31/10万)和永州(20.20/10万), 2004—2013年湘西自治州一直属于高发地区, 郴州在2004、2006、2007、2008、2011、2012年高发, 长沙在2004—2006年高发后发病率逐渐降低, 怀化、邵阳、永州近年来较为高发。结论湖南省自2009年后, 大部分地区细菌性痢疾呈下降趋势, 但湘西自治州在2013年出现升高现象, 细菌性痢疾的发病主要集中在湖南省西部和南部地区, 中部以长沙为主, 北部地区菌痢发病率较低。

     

    Abstract: ObjectiveTo explore spatial and temporal distribution pattern of bacillary dysentery in Hunan province from 2004 to 2013 and to provide a basis for optimizing health resource allocation and effective control of the disease.MethodsRelevant data on incidence of bacillary dysentery in Hunan province from 2004 to 2013 were collected and analyzed with SPSS 17.0.ArcGIS 9.3 was employed to make the spatial distribution map of bacillary dysentery incidence.ResultsThe incidence rate of bacillary dysentery in residents of Hunan province was 14.83/100 000(17.10/100 000 for the males and 12.41/100 000 for the females) during the period,with a higher prevalence(32.6/100 000)among the residents aged 0 to 20 years;the majority of the bacillary dysentery cases were scattered children(34.9%),farmers(25.5%),and students(14.1%).In the province,the bacillary dysentery incidence increased first from 2004 to 2009 and then decreased from 2009 to 2013 in many regions(Changde,Yueyang,Changsha,Yiyang,Loudi,Shaoyang,Zhangjiajie,and Chenzhou),with a parabolic shape trend;the incidence presented a downward trend continuously in Xiangtang,Hengyang,and Huaihua but a steady tendency in Zhuzhou and Yongzhou regions;and the incidence showed an increasing trend in Xiangxi Autonomous Prefecture in 2013.For the the spatial distribution during the period,Xiangxi Autonomous Prefecture had the highest average annual incidence(39.99/100 000),followed by Chenzhou(23.31/100 000)and Yongzhou(20.20/100 000).The higher annual incidences were observed in Chenzhou in 2004,2006,2007,2008,2011,and 2012 and in Changsha from 2004 to 2006;higher annual incidences were also observed in Huaihua,Shaoyang,and Yongzhou in recent years.ConclusionAfter 2009,bacillary dysentery incidence showed a downward trend in most parts in Hunan province after 2009,except for Xiangxi Autonomous Prefecture with an increasing trend in 2013 and bacillary dysentery incident was more prevalent in western and southern regions and less prevalent in northern region of the province.

     

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