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张顺祥, 徐慧文, 任延荣. 运用费用效益分析和决策树法探讨我国乙肝疫苗接种策略[J]. 中国公共卫生, 1989, 5(8): 4-7.
引用本文: 张顺祥, 徐慧文, 任延荣. 运用费用效益分析和决策树法探讨我国乙肝疫苗接种策略[J]. 中国公共卫生, 1989, 5(8): 4-7.
Zhang Shunxiang, . Studies on strategies of Hepatitis B Vaccination by Cost-Benefit Analysis and Decision Tree[J]. Chinese Journal of Public Health, 1989, 5(8): 4-7.
Citation: Zhang Shunxiang, . Studies on strategies of Hepatitis B Vaccination by Cost-Benefit Analysis and Decision Tree[J]. Chinese Journal of Public Health, 1989, 5(8): 4-7.

运用费用效益分析和决策树法探讨我国乙肝疫苗接种策略

Studies on strategies of Hepatitis B Vaccination by Cost-Benefit Analysis and Decision Tree

  • 摘要: 本文运用决策树模型,对我国农村和城市各年龄组人群乙肝疫苗接种策略的费用和效益进行了估算。结果表明,当人群HBVM累积阳性率小于40%宜直接接种,大于40%应先筛选再接种;随年龄增大或HBVM累积阳性率增高,接种乙肝疫苗的效益逐渐减低,说明现阶段我国乙肝疫苗供不应求情况下,应优先接种低年龄组人群。

     

    Abstract: With the model of decision tree, we examined the cost and benefit-cost ratios (BCR) of three strategies: vaccinating everyone, screening followed by vaccination anb no vaccination for some age groups of urban and rural people in china. According to the analyses of cost anb threshold, those whose accumulative positive rates of hepatitis B virus markers(HBYM) is lower than 40% should be vaccinated directly without screening and should be screened fcllowed by vaccination if their rates of HBYM is higher than 40% But the results of the benefit analysis were shown that the BCR of vaccination decreased from the old to neonate, so the age groans of the priority for vaccination is the young, especialy newborn when products of the vaccine is shortage currently. The sensitivity of all parameters in the model was also for mulated.

     

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